Saturday, April 20, 2024

The Skinny Playoff Preview


"The Skinny"

By Eric Hornick

The Isles return to the Stanley Cup Playoffs on Saturday. Here is a preview- Skinny style.

UP NEXT
THE PLAYOFFS
MONDAY, APRIL 20th -  ISLANDERS AT CAROLINA 5:00pm
[MSGSN (Pre-game at 4:30), TBS, WRHU 88.7 FM, WRCN 103.9FM, ESPN Radio]

For the second straight year, the Isles will open the Stanley Cup playoffs against the Carolina Hurricanes. Games 1 and 2 will be at PNC Arena before the series moves to UBS Arena for Games 3 and 4.

The Series 
Game 1: Saturday at Carolina 5:00
Game 2: Monday at Carolina 7:30
Game 3: Thursday at Isles 7:30
Game 4: Next Saturday at Isles 2:00
Game 5: (if needed) April 30 at Carolina
Game 6: (if needed) May 2 at Isles
Game 7: (if needed) May 4 at Carolina

2023-24 Regular Season:
4-Nov-23 Vs Carolina 3 4 Lot
30-Nov-23 @ Carolina 5 4 Wot
23-Dec-23 @ Carolina 5 4 W
19-Mar-24 Vs Carolina 1 4 L
Leading Isles scorers: Mathew Barzal (2-6-8), Bo Horvat (2-4-6), Noah Dobson (1-4-5), Kyle Palmieri (2-2-4) and Anders Lee (1-3-4).

Martin Necas led Carolina with five points (1-4-5), while Sebastian Aho (2-1-4), Andrei Svechnikov (0-4-4) and Brady Skjei (0-4-4) each had four. 

One unusual part of the season series – a different goaltender won all four games.

Previous Playoff Meetings:
This will be the 3rd all-time playoff meeting between the teams.
2019- Round 2. Carolina won the series 4 games to 0, outscoring the Isles 13-5. 
2023- Round 1. Carolina won the series 4 games to 2, outscoring the Isles 16-15.
Teuvo Teravainen led Carolina in scoring in 2019, going 3-2-5; Sebastian Aho went 2-2-4. The leading Islander scorers were Devon Toews (1-2-3) and Jordan Eberle (0-3-3). Mathew Barzal (2-0-2) and Josh Bailey (1-1-2) were the other Isles with multiple points.

Sebastian Aho led Carolina in scoring in 2023, going 4-3-7 while Brent Burns added five assists. Seth Jarvis and Stefan Noesen each went 2-2-4. The leading Islander scorers were Brock Nelson (2-3-5), Kyle Palmieri (2-3-5),Ryan Pulock (1-3-4), Scott Mayfield (1-2-3) and Casey Cizikas (2-1-3). Mathew Barzal (2-0-2) was the other Isle with multiple goals.

Active Islander Playoff Leaders: (As NYI)
Games: 
Matt Martin 79
Casey Cizikas 75
Brock Nelson 73
Cal Clutterbuck 71
Ryan Pulock 61
Scott Mayfield 57
Mathew Barzal 55
Adam Pelech 54

Consecutive Games:
Matt Martin 79 (every game since start of 2013 playoffs)
Brock Nelson 68
Ryan Pulock 57
Mathew Barzal 55

Goals:
Brock Nelson 25
Mathew Barzal 15
Jean-Gabriel Pageau 11
Cal Clutterbuck 11
Anders Lee 9
Kyle Palmieri 9
Ryan Pulock 8
Matt Martin 8
Casey Cizikas 6

Assists:
Mathew Barzal 25
Brock Nelson 21
Ryan Pulock 16
Jean-Gabriel Pageau 14
Scott Mayfield 12
Casey Cizikas 12
Adam Pelech 11
Noah Dobson 9
Anders Lee 8

Points:
Brock Nelson 46
Mathew Barzal 40
Jean-Gabriel Pageau 25
Ryan Pulock 24
Cal Clutterbuck 18
Casey Cizikas 18
Anders Lee 17
Scott Mayfield 16
Kyle Palmieri 14
Adam Pelech 14

Penalty Minutes:
Matt Martin 125
Cal Clutterbuck 86
Casey Cizikas 60
Scott Mayfield 47
Anders Lee 42
Mathew Barzal 39

+/-
Scott Mayfield +23
Jean-Gabriel Pageau +18
Kyle Palmieri +9
Adam Pelech +7

PP Goals
Mathew Barzal 4
Ryan Pulock 3
Anders Lee 3
Brock Nelson 3 
Kyle Palmieri 2
Oliver Wahlstrom 1
Jean-Gabriel Pageau 1

SH Goals
Bo Horvat 1
 
GW Goals
Brock Nelson 7
Mathew Barzal 3
Ryan Pulock 3
Kyle Palmieri 2
Scott Mayfield 1
Casey Cizikas 1
Matt Martin 1

OT Goals 
Mathew Barzal 1
Kyle Palmieri 1
Casey Cizikas 1

Goaltending
Ilya Sorokin 6-5, 2.70 GAA, .925 save percentage.
Semyon Varlamov 18-14,  2.31 GAA, .922 save percentage.

(Varlamov's 18 wins is second in club history to Billy Smith's 88. Among goalies who have played at least ten post-season games, Varlamov has the best goals against average while Sorokin has the best save percentage in club history.)

Overtime is Our Time
The Isles are 40-24 (.645) all-time in overtime, including 20-14 at home. The Isles went 0-2 in overtime in 2023; they have gone 11-11 in 22 overtime games since 2015. 

(all stats below exclude Seattle)
The Isles are the best overtime team in Stanley Cup history: 
1. Isles 40-24 .625
2. Anaheim 24-15 .615
3. Carolina 30-19 .612
4. Florida 12-8 .600
5. Ottawa 22-16 .579
6. Colorado 46-34  .575

The Isles are also one of the best teams on the road in Stanley Cup history:
1. Florida 9-4 .692
2. Isles 20-10 .667
3. Tampa Bay 14-7 .667
4. Anaheim 15-8 .652
5. Colorado 26-15 .634
6. Carolina 14-9 .609

The Isles' winning percentage is tied-5th at home in overtime games  
1. Carolina 16-10 .615
2. Chicago 30-18-1 .612
3. Buffalo 20-13 .606
4. Montreal 46-29-1 .605
5. Isles 20-14 .588
6. Ottawa 10-7 .588

Overtime vs. Carolina
The Isles are 0-3 all-time in playoff overtime games vs. Carolina:
4/26/19 Vs Jordan Staal L (0-1)  04:04  (Brooklyn*)
4/19/23 @ Jesper Fast L (3-4)  05:03
4/28/23 Vs Paul Stastny L (1-2)  06:01
*It was the last overtime game and penultimate playoff game at Barclays Center.

Coaching Numbers:
Most playoff wins by Islander coaches:
Al Arbour 119
Barry Trotz 28
Jack Capuano 10
Terry Simpson 9
Peter Laviolette 4
Lane Lambert 2
Ted Nolan 1
Steve Stirling 1

Most playoff games coached (Islanders):
Al Arbour 198
Barry Trotz 49
Jack Capuano 24
Terry Simpson 20
Peter Laviolette 12
Lane Lambert 6
Steve Stirling 5
Ted Nolan 5

Most overtime wins/overtime record:
Al Arbour 26 (26-9)
Barry Trotz 7 (7-6)
Jack Capuano 4 (4-5)
Terry Simpson 3 (3-0)
Peter Laviolette 0 (0-1)
Steve Stirling 0 (0-1)
Lane Lambert 0 (0-2)


Forever1940 is the nom de plume of Eric Hornick, statistician on Islander home telecasts since January 21, 1982. Visit my blog: NYISkinny.com and follow me on Twitter @ehornick

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