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The Skinny: Isles 3, Carolina 2 (2-OT) (Carolina leads series 3-1)

"The Skinny" By Eric Hornick Eastern Conference Round 1, Game 4 Isles 3, Carolina 2 (2-OT) Carolina Leads Series 3-1 They're A...

Sunday, April 17, 2022

The Skinny: Toronto 4, Isles 2

"The Skinny"      

By Eric Hornick

Game 75
Toronto 4, Isles 2
Pierre Engvall and William Nylander scored 2:31 apart in the second period as the Toronto Maple Leafs rallied from 1-0 and 2-1 deficits for a 4-2 win over the Islanders before a crowd of 17,464 at Scotiabank Arena.

The loss eliminated the Islanders from playoff contention.

Anthony Beauvillier and Josh Bailey scored for the Islanders, who are 7-4-0 in their last eleven games. 

The Scoring:
1st Period
Anthony Beauvillier (12) Kyle Palmieri (17), Ryan Pulock (14) 14:17 NYI 1,TOR 0 PPG
Mitchell Marner (34) Mark Giordano (24), Michael Bunting (39) 17:31 NYI 1,TOR 1

2nd Period
Josh Bailey (11) 00:31 NYI 2,TOR 1
Pierre Engvall (14) Alexander Kerfoot (37), Justin Holl (19) 10:49 NYI 2,TOR 2
William Nylander (31) John Tavares (48), Michael Bunting (40) 13:20 NYI 2,TOR 3 PPG

3rd Period
David Kampf (10)EN William Nylander (43) 19:51 NYI 2,TOR 4

The Skinny            
The Isles are 14-7-1 in their last 22 games … Ken Appleby served as the Islander back-up goaltender for the 2nd straight game…Anthony Beauvillier scored his 5th power play goal of the season, which is a career high…Josh Bailey scored for the third time in four games; all three goals were unassisted…Brock Nelson played in his 670th game as an Islander, passing John Tavares for 11th place on the club's all-time games played list for skaters…Tavares' assist was only his fourth point in eight career games against the Isles…Toronto recorded a franchise-record 50th win…Ilya Sorokin played all four games this week, stopping 142 of 153 opponent shots.

First Time in a Long Time
Josh Bailey is the first Islander since Shawn Bates to be credited with three consecutive unassisted goals.  Bates had an empty-net goal among his trio that were scored in 2003.

Home is Where The Sorokin Is
Ilya Sorokin is 13-4-3 at UBS Arena, with a 1.96 GAA and a .934 save percentage. 

Since February 1st, he has been even better, going 7-1-1 in nine home starts (1.81 GAA, .944 save percentage); his goals against average is the best in the NHL among goalies who have played at least two home games in that stretch .

Great in the Nets
Ilya Sorokin is 8-4-0 in his last twelve games; he has allowed just 23 goals in those twelve games.
Semyon Varlamov is 6-3-1 in his last ten decisions.  

PK is More Than Okay
The Isles killed two of their three penalties (including a 1:37 5-on-3) and have now killed 31 of 33 (93.9%) over their last eleven games and 70 of 78 in the last 25 games (89.7%).  At home they are even better, having killed 37 of 40 since the beginning of February; their 92.5% home PK in that span is tied-second in the NHL (Carolina 94.2%).

And How About That Home PP?
Since the beginning of February, the Isles home PP has converted at a 32.4% rate (12-37).  Only Florida (17-46, 37.0%) has had a better home power play in that stretch.

Zach Attack
Zach Parise has 408 career goals, tying him for 95th place all-time with Patrik Elias and Ray Ferraro and, passing Marian Gaborik.  Ray Bourque has 410 goals and sits 94th.

All-Star Break Splits
The Islander offense has improved significantly since the All-Star break. The Isles scored 92 goals in 39 games before the break (2.4/gm) and have scored 114 in 36 games since the break (3.2/gm).  

Forwards:
Before: 80-106-186 in 39 games (4.8/gm)
After:    100-121-221 in 36 games  (6.1/gm)

Defense:
Before: 12-47-59 in 39 games (1.5/gm)
After:    14-67-81 in 36 games (2.3/gm)

Most Career Goals by an Islander Wearing #27
1. Derek King 211
2. Anders Lee 210 
3. John Tonelli 206

Most Shutouts In a Season
7 Ilya Sorokin 2021-22
7 Semyon Varlamov 2020-21 (56-game season)
7 Chico Resch 1975-76
6 Robin Lehner 2018-19
6 Jaroslav Halak 2014-15

Home and Road
The Isles are 35-31-9 overall; they are 19-13-4 at home and 16-18-5 on the road.
Toronto is 50-20-6 overall; they are 28-8-2 at home and 22-12-4 on the road.

Home is Where the Fans Are
The Isles have played 36 home games and recorded 27 sellouts. The sellout crowds of 17,255 are the largest indoor crowds to ever see the Islanders play at home. 

Leader of the Pack
Barry Trotz has coached more games and recorded more victories than any other active coach. Trotz' NHL record is 912-667-60-166 in 1,805 games.

Most Coaching Wins
1. Scotty Bowman  1,244
2. Joel Quenneville  970
3. Barry Trotz  912

Most Games Coached
1. Scotty Bowman  2,141
2. Barry Trotz        1,805
3. Joel Quenneville 1,768

Sweet Lou
Lou Lamoriello has the second-highest win total for any general manager in NHL history:
1. David Poile 1,489 
2. Lou Lamoriello 1,361
3. Glen Sather 1,319

It All Starts at the Top
Lou Lamoriello and Barry Trotz have 2,273 wins between them. They start each game with more than any other pair in NHL history (David Poile and Peter Laviolette had 2,036 after their last game together). Bill Torrey and Al Arbour had a then-record 1,462 at the end of the 1991-92 season, which was their last season together. 

First Things First
The Isles are 28-9-5 when scoring first and are 7-22-4 when allowing the opening goal. 

The Shots
Isles    9-11-9=29
Toronto 9-12-16=37
The Isles are 12-7-4 when they outshoot their opponents, 1-2-1 when the shots are even and 22-22-4 when they are outshot. Under Barry Trotz, the Isles are 88-58-17 when outshot.

In the Nets
Ilya Sorokin made 33 saves; he is 25-16-7 on the season and 0-2-0 vs  Toronto.

Jack Campbell made 27 saves; he is 29-9-5 on the season and 1-0-0 vs. the Isles.   

Special Teams
The Isles were 1-2 on the power play (3:38);  Toronto was 1-3 on the power play (3:15, including a 1:37 5-on-3).

The Isles are 18-9-5 when they score at least one power play goal and 17-22-4 when they do not. The Isles are 7-13-4 when they allow at least one power play goal and 28-18-5 when they do not.

Three is a Magic Number
The Isles are 30-9-4 when they score at least three goals (including shootout winners) and are 5-22-5 when they do not. Under Barry Trotz, the Isles are 117-18-15 when scoring three or more.

One-Goal Games
The Isles are 11-9-9 in games decided by a single goal including 8-9 in regulation. They are 1-3 in games decided in overtime and are 2-6 in shootouts. The Isles are 1-7 in games in which an empty-net goal turns a 1-goal game into a 2-goal game (including one game the Isles scored after allowing an empty-netter).

Back-to-Backs
The Isles are 9-6-1 in the front end and 6-9-1 in the back end. The next back-to-back will be April 23rd in Buffalo and April 24th at home vs. Carolina.
 
Under Barry Trotz, the Isles are 27-13-5 in back-ends. 

Matinee Isles
The Isles are 4-4-3 in matinees this season; the final matinees will be on April 23rd in Buffalo and April 24th at home vs. Carolina.

Ice-time Leaders
Isles: Noah Dobson (22:36);  Toronto: Morgan Rielly (22:12)
Brock Nelson led Isles forwards with 19:49 of ice-time. 

Isles record by ice-time leaders: Adam Pelech (12-5-4), Noah Dobson (9-11-3), Ryan Pulock (7-5-1), Anthony Beauvillier (0-1-0), Mathew Barzal (0-0-1), Zdeno Chara (2-1-0), Sebastian Aho (0-1-0), Robin Salo (0-2-0), Scott Mayfield (0-3-0), Jean-Gabriel Pageau (0-2-0).

Face-offs
Isles 29, Toronto 39 (49%)
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won 11 of 19 for the Isles; John Tavares won 13 of 20 for Toronto.

Hit Count
Isles 48 (Andy Greene -6)
Toronto 25 (Two with 3)
Fights 
Ross Johnston fought Wayne Simmonds in the first period. Season total: 22 (Martin 6, Chara 5,  Johnston 4, Pageau 2, Mayfield 2, Wahlstrom 2, Bellows 1, Nelson 1, Palmieri 1)
 
Blocked Shots
Isles 20 (Noah Dobson -4)
Toronto 16 (Alexander Kerfoot -4)

For the Analytics Crowd 
Corsi: All situations: Isles 56, Toronto 72
Corsi: 5-on-5: Isles 50, Toronto 59

5-on-5 leaders:
Isles: Ryan Pulock +9
Toronto: Mark Giordano +13

High Danger Scoring Chances (per Natural Stat Trick)
All situations: Isles 5, Toronto 14
5-on-5: Isles 5, Toronto 11

Scratches
(Cal Clutterbuck-INJ), (Scott Mayfield-INJ), Oliver Wahlstrom, (Grant Hutton-ILL), (Semyon Varlamov-ILL)
Games Lost: 167 (118 to injuries and 49 to COVID protocol)
Zach Parise is the only Islander to have played in every game this season.

Challenges
Isles: 3 successful, 2 failures
 Isles are 2-0-1 in games that they are successful (offside 1/18 @PHI, no goalie interference 2/22 @SEA, offside 3/15 @ WSH) and 0-2-0 in games that they are unsuccessful (no goalie interference 10/14 @CAR, no goalie interference 4/5 @DAL)

Opponents: 5 successful, 1 failure
The Isles are 2-2-1 in games where opponents' challenges go their way (goalie interference 10/16 @FLA and 10/23 @ARI; offside 12/19 vs VGK, goalie interference 3/5 vs STL, goalie interference 3/27 vs TB) and 0-0-1 in games where challenges go the Isles' way (goalie interference 3/15 vs WSH)

Last Minute Heroes:
The Isles have scored five goals and allowed two goals in the final three minutes of the third period that were either the winning goal or forced overtime:
For: 5  (Noah Dobson 19:56 – 12/5/21 vs CHI; Isles lost in SO) (Brock Nelson 17:03 – 2/20/22 vs OTT; Isles lost in SO), (Anders Lee 18:01 – 3/15/22 @ WSH; Isles lost in SO), (Kyle Palmieri 17:16 – 3/17/22 vs. NYR -GWG), (Kyle Palmieri 19:45 – 4/8/22 @ CAR – GWG)
Vs:  2 (Eeli Tolvanen 19:48 – 12/9/21 vs NSH-GWG), (Shea Theodore 19:12 – 12/19/21 vs VGK; Isles lost in SO)
The Isles allowed a tying goal to CAR on 4/8/22 but scored the winner in the final seconds.

All-time Islander Leader Boards:
Games Played (skaters)
1. Bryan Trottier 1,123 *** 2. Denis Potvin 1,060 *** 3. Josh Bailey 986…
9. Brent Sutter 694 *** 10. Matt Martin 678 *** 11. Brock Nelson 670 *** 12. John Tavares 669 *** 13. Casey Cizikas 656 … 
18. Kenny Jonsson 597 *** 19. Garry Howatt 596 *** 20. John Tonelli 594 *** 21. Anders Lee 589 *** 22. Cal Clutterbuck 587

Goals    
1. Mike Bossy 573 *** 2. Bryan Trottier 500 *** 3. Denis Potvin 310 …
9. Bobby Nystrom 235 *** 10. Derek King 211 *** 11. Anders Lee 210 *** 12. John Tonelli 206 *** 13. Brock Nelson 202 *** 14 Billy Harris 184 *** 15. Josh Bailey 173

Assists
1. Bryan Trottier 853 *** 2. Denis Potvin 742 *** 3. Mike Bossy 553 *** 4. Josh Bailey 375…
17. Frans Nielsen and Kyle Okposo 230 *** 19. Mathew Barzal 213 ***20. Nick Leddy 198 *** 21. Pierre Turgeon 193 *** 22. Brock Nelson 182

Points
1. Bryan Trottier 1,353 *** 2. Mike Bossy 1,126 *** 3. Denis Potvin 1,052…
7. Pat LaFontaine 566 *** 8. Josh Bailey 548 *** 9. John Tonelli 544 *** 10. Bob Bourne 542 …
14. Billy Harris 443 *** 15. Brock Nelson 384 ***  16. Kyle Okposo and Stefan Persson 369 *** 18.  Anders Lee 363…
22. Ziggy Palffy 331 *** 23. Mathew Barzal 303

+/-
1. Bryan Trottier +467 *** 2. Denis Potvin +456 *** 3. Mike Bossy +380…
19. JP Parise +67 *** 20. Adam Pelech +63 *** 21. Jude Drouin +58 *** 22. Patrick Flatley +57 *** 23. Greg Gilbert +54 *** 24. Gord Lane +48  

Games Coached 
1. Al Arbour 1,500 *** 2. Jack Capuano 483 *** 3. Barry Trotz 281
 
Coaching Wins
1. Al Arbour 740 *** 2. Jack Capuano 227 *** 3. Barry Trotz 150

On the Farm
Bridgeport is to 9-4-2-0 in their last fifteen games and 30-29-7-4 on the season following a 6-5 loss to Wilkes-Barre Scranton on Saturday.  

Chris Terry continues to lead the team with 29 goals and 57 points while Otto Koivula has a team-leading 35 helpers. Jakub Skurek is 16-14-4 in goal on the season while Cory Schneider, 9-2-2 in his last thirteen games, is 13-11-3.

Despite the loss, Bridgeport remains .014 ahead of Hartford for the final playoff spot.  (AHL teams play different number of games, so percentage will determine the final standings).  Bridgeport has two regular season games to play (Friday vs. Springfield and Saturday vs. Hartford) while the Wolf Pack have three.  

The Baby Isles could clinch a playoff spot on Friday if they beat Springfield and Hartford loses at home to Charlotte in regulation time.

Season Series Stats
Toronto wins the season series, 3 games to 0 (and 6 points to 0).

The Leafs sweep the season series and have won the last four games overall against the Islanders. It is the first time since 1996-97 that the Isles have not earned a point in a season series contested with Toronto.

UP NEXT
TUESDAY, APRIL 19th  – FLORIDA AT ISLANDERS 7:30 PM 
[MSG+ (Pre-game at 7:00pm), WRHU 88.7 FM, WRCN 103.9FM, ESPN Radio]
The Isles will close the regular season by playing five of the last seven games at home, beginning on Tuesday against the Florida Panthers, who will come in on a 10-game winning streak.

It will be the first visit to UBS Arena for the Panthers, who defeated the Isles 5-1 and 6-1 during the season-opening 13-game road trip.

Florida has already tied the club record for road wins (23) and set record for road points (50), and road goals (135).  Their 314 overall goals (excluding shootout goals) are the second-highest total in the NHL in the last 25 years and they will likely pass the 2018-19 Lightning (319) sometime this week.

Eric Hornick has been the statistician on Islander home game telecasts since January 21, 1982. Information contained in "The Skinny" has been gathered from various sources. Follow Eric @ehornick on Twitter & on his blog www.nyiskinny.com


Forever1940 is the nom de plume of Eric Hornick, statistician on Islander home telecasts since January 21, 1982. Visit my blog: NYISkinny.com and follow me on Twitter @ehornick

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