Tuesday, August 30, 2011

Scouts: Isles forwards will combine for 230 goals this season --what does it mean?

Interesting preview by @chrisbottanhl on the Isles' offense.  Chris had 4 scouts comment and their combined estimate is that the Isles forwards will score 230 goals this season.  (Chris' own estimate is 237).

To put that in perspective, if you throw a pedestrian 25 in for the defense and make it 255/262:

Last season, the Bruins won the Stanley Cup after a 246 goal regular season; the Canucks lost in the finals after scoring 262. Of the East teams that missed the playoffs, Carolina scored the most goals (236).

In 2009-10, the Hawks scored 271 in the regular season (and won the Cup) while the Flyers tallied 236.  No East team that missed the playoffs scored more than Atlanta's 234 (RIP).

The last Eastern Conference team to score over 255 goals and miss the playoffs was Atlanta (257) in 2008-09..and technically they only scored 250 --they were credited with 7 "goals" for for shootout winners.

You have to go back to 2005-06 to find an Eastern Conference team that scored that often and missed the playoffs -- the Thrashers had 281 that season (276 + 5 in shootouts).

Now the Isles just need to keep the puck out of their own net.

Chris' original piece is here:
http://www.islanderspointblank.com/2011/08/2011-12-islanders-preview-the-forwardsnhl-pro-scouts-provide-goal-projections-for-each/
 
Forever1940 is the nom de plume of Eric Hornick, statistician on Islander home telecasts since 1982. Visit my blog: forever1940.blogspot.com and follow me on Twitter @ehornick

4 comments:

7th Woman said...

So what I'm getting out of this is -- number of goals doesn't mean winning it all....

Anonymous said...

as long as DP is't in net :x

ENV79 said...

Interesting stats, but is the 05-06 season a realistic comparison?

Goal totals were a little looney that year (I remember Daniel Alfredsson at midseason being on pace for a 70-70 season)

Eric Hornick said...

Goals were higher that year (05-06), although I don't think Alfredsson was at the pace you cited. Regardless, if they get to that goal level it should mean good things for the Isles this season.