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The Skinny: Carolina 6, Isles 3 (Carolina wins series 4-1)

"The Skinny" By Eric Hornick Eastern Conference Round 1, Game 5 Carolina 6, Isles 3 Carolina Wins Series 4-1 School is out. Jack D...

Tuesday, January 17, 2023

The Skinny: Washington 4, Isles 3 (OT)

"The Skinny"      

By Eric Hornick

Game 45
Washington 4, Isles 3 (OT)
Dimitry Orlov scored with 32.8 seconds remaining in overtime as the Washington Capitals completed a comeback from a 3-0 deficit for a 4-3 victory over the Isles before a crowd of 16,344 at UBS Arena. 

Sebastian Aho and Matt Martin scored first period goals and Hudson Fasching gave the Isles a 3-0 advantage 3:51 into the second period.  However, a hit by Alex Ovechkin chased Jean-Gabriel Pageau to the dressing room a few minutes later and the Caps scored twice in a 3:07 span before Pageau could rejoin the game.  TJ Oshie tied the contest early in the third period, setting the stage for Orlov's 5th career overtime goal. 

The Isles are 23-18-4 and drop behind Pittsburgh for the second wild card spot; both teams have 50 points, but the Isles have played two more games. The Isles are 2-4-2 since the calendar turned to 2023 and will look to make it a winning homestand when the Boston Bruins arrive on Wednesday for a nationally televised game on TNT. 

The Scoring:
1st Period
Sebastian Aho (4) Josh Bailey (12), Noah Dobson (17) 04:24 WSH 0,NYI 1
Matt Martin (4) Cal Clutterbuck (4), Alexander Romanov (14) 13:19 WSH 0,NYI 2

2nd Period
Hudson Fasching (3) Jean-Gabriel Pageau (16), Anthony Beauvillier (9) 03:51 WSH 0,NYI 3
Garnet Hathaway (7) Alex Ovechkin (20), Marcus Johansson (11) 10:01 WSH 1,NYI 3
Tom Wilson (1) Nicklas Backstrom (2), Dmitry Orlov (11) 13:08 WSH 2,NYI 3

3rd Period
T.J. Oshie (9) Erik Gustafsson (19), Evgeny Kuznetsov (31) 05:54 WSH 3,NYI 3

Dmitry Orlov (3) T.J. Oshie (7) 04:27 WSH 4,NYI 3

The Skinny   
The Isles did not reach 23 wins last season until March 11th (23-24-8)... The Isles went 0-1 on the power play; they are 3-20 in the last nine games and 3-45 in the last seventeen games …The Isles did kill the only Capital power play and are now 55/60 (91.7%) on the home PK – which is the best in the NHL; they are 20-20 in the last ten home games ..The Isles scored first for the third straight game and led by two goals after one period for the second straight game, and only for the third time this season...It was also the earliest three goals the Isles have scored this season at UBS Arena and their 2nd-earliest anywhere this season (23:31 at New Jersey on December 9th)… The Isles are 16-2-1 when leading through 40 minutes… The Isles have scored seven goals in the last four games (1-1-2); all but Fasching's have been scored in the first period…Washington's third period goal reduced the Isles' differential in that period to +7; the Isles were +16 in the third period through 23 games but are -9 over the last 22 games. Noah Dobson's assist was his 99th point, all with the Isles, and matches Scott Mayfield's total. They are looking to become the 25th and 26th defenseman in club history to reach 100 points…Hudson Fasching had a career-high five shots on goal…  The Isles suffered their first loss when leading by three goals since January 26, 2021, also vs. Washington…It is the third time in four seasons that the Caps have rallied from a three-goal deficit to beat the Isles; coincidentally, all three games were played in January…The Isles are the 31st NHL team to lose in overtime, leaving Tampa Bay as the only team not to allow an overtime goal…Scott Mayfield played 11:11 of the third period and the final 1:49 of overtime.  Each of his last eight shifts lasted over one minute…The Caps scored an overtime goal against the Isles for the 14th time (and first time since Justin Williams beat them on February 18, 2016);  the Isles are 9-14 vs. the Caps in games decided by an overtime goal…Matt Martin had at least ten hits for the eighth time as an Islander; since the stat was recorded officially in 2005, Martin has eight of the 17 occurrences in club history. 

The Injuries:
Nic Dowd left the game in the first period following a check from Cal Clutterbuck; he suffered a lower body injury and did not return.  Jean-Gabriel Pageau missed part of the second period after a hit from Alex Ovechkin.   

First Times in a Long Time
The Isles saw their seven-game win streak on Martin Luther King, Jr. Day end.  It's their first loss on this holiday since January 13, 2012 (3-1 vs Nashville).
Scott Mayfield played 28:10; it is the most ice-time for any Islander since Ryan Pulock played 29:00 vs. Montreal on November 5, 2018.  

Last Year vs. This Year
2022-23  23-18-4 for 50 points in 45 games
2021-22  18-20-7 for 43 points in 45 games

Offense from Defense
Today:  1-2-3
Season: 27-67-94
Last Season (Final) 32-128-160

The Islander defense have scored 27 goals (tied with Florida and Carolina for the NHL lead); they didn't score their 27th goal last season until April 19th.  

Sorokin's House
Ilya Sorokin is 22-13-5 all-time at UBS Arena.  His goals against average of 2.03 trails only Frederik Anderson (2.02) among goalies who have made multiple home starts over the last two seasons and his save percentage of .933 is the best in the NHL over that span.  Sorokin went 9-1-0 at the Coliseum; he is 31-14-5 in his career at home and his .930 career save percentage is the best on home ice in NHL history (minimum 40 home games).

Zach Attack 
Zach Parise has 420 career goals, good for 9th among actives.  He is tied with Bill Barber for 89th all-time; Stephane Richer, Vincent Lecavalier and Steve Thomas are tied-86th with 421.

Home and Road
The Isles are 23-18-4 overall; they are 13-7-2 at home and 10-11-2 on the road.
Washington is 24-16-6 overall; they are 13-7-3 at home and 10-10-3 on the road.

East and West
The Isles are 13-8-2 against the East (9-4-1 vs. Metropolitan and 4-4-1 vs. Atlantic) and 10-11-1 against the West (4-8-1 vs. Central and 6-3-0 vs. Pacific).

Home is Where the Fans Are
The Isles have played 63 games at UBS Arena and recorded 42 sellouts. The sellout crowds of 17,255 are the largest indoor crowds to ever see the Islanders play at home. 

Sweet Lou
Lou Lamoriello has the second-highest win total for any general manager in NHL history:
1. David Poile 1,511
2. Lou Lamoriello 1,386
3. Glen Sather 1,319

First Things First
The Isles are 15-5-1 when scoring first and are 8-13-3 when allowing the opening goal. 

The Shots
Isles    11-6-11-2=30
Washington 5-14-12-4=35
The Isles are 12-7-1 when they outshoot their opponents, 0-0-0 when the shots are even and 10-11-3 when they are outshot. 

In the Nets
Ilya Sorokin made 31 saves; he is 15-14-3 on the season and 1-2-1 vs Washington. 

Darcy Kuemper made 27 saves; he is 13-11-4 on the season and 3-4-1 vs. the Isles.

Special Teams
The Isles were 0-1 on the power play (2:00); Washington was 0-1 on the power play (2:00).

The Isles are 11-8-1 when they score at least one power play goal and 12-10-3 when they do not. The Isles are 11-7-1 when they allow at least one power play goal and 12-11-3 when they do not.

Three is (Usually) a Magic Number
The Isles are 21-5-2 when they score at least three goals (including shootout winners) and are 2-13-2 when they do not.

One-Goal Games
The Isles are 8-3-4 in games decided by a single goal including 5-3 in regulation. They are 3-1 in games decided in overtime and are 0-3 in shootouts. The Isles are 4-7 in games in which an empty-net goal turns a 1-goal game into a 2-goal game.

The next set of back-to-backs will be on January 18th vs Boston and on January 19th in Buffalo. The Isles are 4-4-0 in the front end and 5-3-0 in the back end. 

Ice-time Leaders
Isles: Scott Mayfield (28:10);  Washington: Erik Gustafsson (26:00)
Brock Nelson led Isles forwards with 19:07 of ice-time. 

Isles record by ice-time leaders: Alexander Romanov (2-1-1), Noah Dobson (4-9-2), Adam Pelech (3-2-0), Ryan Pulock (5-3-0), Scott Mayfield (6-0-1), Brock Nelson (1-0-0), Mathew Barzal (2-1-0), Sebastian Aho (0-1-0), Tied (0-1-0).

Isles 22, Washington 29 (43%)
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won 10 of 16 for the Isles;  Nicklas Backstrom won 8 of 12 for Washington. 

Hit Count
Isles 37 (Matt Martin-10)
Washington 38 (Martin Fehervary- 9)
None. Season total: 13 (Martin-5, Lee-2, Wahlstrom-2, Johnston-2, Cizikas, Romanov)
Blocked Shots
Isles 18 (Ryan Pulock and Scott Mayfield -3)
Washington 13 (Nicklas Backstrom -3)

For the Analytics Crowd 
Corsi: All situations: Isles 54, Washington 69
Corsi: 5-on-5: Isles 47, Washington 53

5-on-5 leaders:
Isles: Parker Wotherspoon +7
Washington:  Two with +9

High Danger Scoring Chances (per Natural Stat Trick)
All situations: Isles 17, Washington 19
5-on-5: Isles 15, Washington 15

(Adam Pelech – upper body-IR), (Kyle Palmieri- upper body-IR), (Oliver Wahlstrom-INJ), Ross Johnston
Games Lost: 85

The Ironmen
Zach Parise played in his 127th consecutive Islander game; he has played in every game since joining the team in October 2021. It is the 20th-longest active streak in the NHL.  

Noah Dobson played in his 110h consecutive Islander game.

Isles: 1 successful, 0 failures – STL goalie interference 11/3

Opponents: 1 successful, 0 failures – PIT offside 12/27

League reviews: 4 (Isles goal – Salo vs ANA 10/16 – stood; Isles no goal vs NSH 12/2-stood; Isles goal- Martin vs CHI 12/4-awarded; MIN goal (Gaudreau) 1/12 – awarded)

The Isles have scored two goals in under a minute six times this season (five times at home and once on road):
0:17 10/29 vs. COL (Mayfield and Beauvillier)
0:59 11/7 vs. CGY (Lee and Palmieri)
0:22 11/26 vs PHI (Nelson and Beauvillier)
0:43 12/4 vs CHI (Parise and Nelson)
0:21 12/6 vs STL (Fasching and Pageau)
0:34 12/9 @ NJD (Cizikas and Wahlstrom)

Multi-Goal 3rd Period Comeback Wins
The Isles have come from two goals behind after two periods to win three times this season and have not allowed the opposition to do so.
For: Trailed 3-1, Won 5-3 vs. COL 10/29
Trailed 3-1, Won 4-3 (OT) vs CGY 11/7
Trailed 3-1, Won 4-3 at NYR 11/8

Last Minute Heroes:
The Isles have scored two goal and allowed one goal in the final three minutes of the third period that were either the winning goal or forced overtime. 
For(2): Brock Nelson vs COL 10/29 (18:39;EN/GW)
Josh Bailey @ TOR 11/21 (17:02; Isles won in OT)
Vs (1): Kappo Kaako @NYR  12/22 (17:13: GW)

Overtime Winners
For (3): Noah Dobson vs CGY 11/7 (4:02)
Zach Parise vs CBJ 11/12 (0:39) 
Anthony Beauvillier @ TOR 11/21 (1:56)
Vs. (1): Dimitry Orlov Vs WAS 1/16

Shootout Winners
Vs (3):  David Pastrnak @ BOS 12/13
Evan Rodrigues @ COL 12/19
Jason Robertson Vs DAL 1/10

All-time Islander Leader Boards:
Games Played (skaters)
1. Bryan Trottier 1,123 *** 2. Denis Potvin 1,060 *** 3. Josh Bailey 1,034…
7. Mike Bossy 752 *** 8. Matt Martin 729 *** 9. Brock Nelson 721*** 10. Patrick Flatley 712 *** 11. Casey Cizikas 707… 
13. John Tavares 669 *** 14. Anders Lee 641 *** 15. Derek King 638 *** 16. Billy Harris 623 *** 17. Stefan Persson 622 *** 18. Cal Clutterbuck 619

1. Mike Bossy 573 *** 2. Bryan Trottier 500 *** 3. Denis Potvin 310 …
9. Bobby Nystrom 235 *** 10. Anders Lee 227 *** 11. Brock Nelson 220 *** 12. Derek King 211 *** 13. John Tonelli 206  *** 14 Billy Harris 184 *** 15. Josh Bailey 182

1. Bryan Trottier 853 *** 2. Denis Potvin 742 *** 3. Mike Bossy 553 *** 4. Josh Bailey 391…
15. Billy Harris 259*** 16. Mathew Barzal 250 *** 17. Tomas Jonsson 249 *** 18. Frans Nielsen and Kyle Okposo 230 *** 20. Brock Nelson 206…
23. Ed Westfall 181 *** 24. Kenny Jonsson 175 *** 25. Alexei Yashin and Duane Sutter 171 *** 27. Anders Lee 169

1. Bryan Trottier 1,353 *** 2. Mike Bossy 1,126 *** 3. Denis Potvin 1,052…
6.  Brent Sutter 610 *** 7. Josh Bailey 573  …
14. Billy Harris 443 *** 15. Brock Nelson 426 ***  16. Anders Lee 396 *** 17. Kyle Okposo and Stefan Persson 369…19. Mathew Barzal 352

1. Bryan Trottier +467 *** 2. Denis Potvin +456 *** 3. Mike Bossy +380…
15. Bob Lorimer +105 *** 16. Tomas Jonsson +76 *** 17. Garry Howatt +75 *** 18. Adam Pelech +74 *** 19. Pat Price +70 *** 20. JP Parise +67 *** 21. Jude Drouin +58 *** 22. Patrick Flatley +57 *** 23. Ryan Pulock +55 *** 24. Greg Gilbert +54 *** 25. Ryan Pulock +23

Defense Goals
1. Denis Potvin 310 *** 2. Tomas Jonsson 84 *** Kenny Jonsson 57…
6. Nick Leddy 45 *** 7. Roman Hamrlik 43 **** 8. Mark Streit and  Ryan Pulock 40 *** 10. Johnny Boychuk *** 11. Adrian Aucoin 33 *** 12. Bryan Berard 31***13. Vladimir Malakhov and Noah Dobson 27

Defense Assists
1. Denis Potvin 742 *** 2. Stefan Persson 317 *** 3. Tomas Jonsson 249…
8. Mark Streit 139 *** 9. Roman Hamrlik 120 *** 10. Ryan Pulock 121…
18. Dave Langevin and Thomas Hickey 95 *** 20. Adam Pelech 92

Defense Points
1. Denis Potvin 1,052 *** 2. Stefan Persson 369 *** 3. Tomas Jonsson 333…
8. Mark Streit 179 *** 9. Ryan Pulock 161…
17. Vladimir Malakhov 125 *** 18. Thomas Hickey 117 *** 19. Adam Pelech 114

1. Billy Smith 304 *** 2. Glenn Resch 157 *** 3. Rick DiPietro 130…
10. Evgeni Nabokov 57 *** 11. Semyon Varlamov 56 *** 12. Ilya Sorokin 54

1. Glenn Resch 25 *** 2. Billy Smith 22 *** 3. Rick DiPietro 16 …
4. Tommy Salo 14 ***5. Ilya Sorokin 13 *** 6. Semyon Varlamov and Jaroslav Halak 12 

On the Farm
Bridgeport got goals from six different players, including William Dufour and Aatu Raty as they defeated Springfield 6-2 on Monday afternoon for their second win in three games. The Islanders are 16-15-6-1 on the season.

Andy Andreoff leads the team (and is tied-4th in the AHL) with 19 goals, while Chis Terry continues to lead in assists (26) and points (37).   William Dufour now has 13 goals and is tied-4th among AHL rookies; Dufour has points in 9 of his last 10 games.

Bridgeport hosts Rochester on Friday. 

Season Series Stats
Washington leads the season series, 1 game to 0 (and 2 points to 1). The teams will next meet in Washington on March 29th.

The Isles have points in four straight games vs. the Caps (2-0-2), matching their longest streak against Washington since 2012-13.

[TNT (pre-game at 7:00), WRHU 88.7 FM, WRCN 103.9FM, ESPN Radio]
The longest homestand of the season concludes on Wednesday as the Isles welcome the Boston Bruins to UBS Arena for the only time this season.  Kenny Albert, Ed Olczyk and Keith Jones will call the game for TNT.

The Isles rallied from 2-0 and 3-2 deficits to force a shootout in Boston on December 19th, but the Bruins won the shootout.

The Isles have won six straight regular season home games from Boston, sweeping four games in the 2021 COVID season and then defeating the Bruins twice last season.  The Bruins scored only seven goals in the six games, which mark the longest Islander home win streak vs. Boston in their history.  

The game will be played on the 50th anniversary of one of the most famous games from the Islanders' first season.  On January 18, 1973 the Isles went into Boston and defeated the Stanley Cup Champion Bruins 9-7. It was only the second road win in club history (2-20-1) and the fifth win overall (5-37-4).

Here's how I previously described it:
With the expansion Islanders in town, the Bruins started John Adams (yes that John Adams) in goal.  The roookie netminder would finish the season with a 9-3-1 record.  His night however would be finished in just 20 minutes as the Islanders jumped to a 5-0 lead in the first 17:46, bookended by a pair of goals by Don Blackburn.  Lorne Henning, Billy Harris, and Ed Westfall also tallied for the Isles, who allowed a late goal by John Bucyk to make it 5-1 after 1.

Westfall tallied again early in the second period to make it 6-1, but by midway through the period the B's had cut the margin to 6-4.  Bucyk had two of those three goals, giving him a hat trick-- he would later add a 4th goal.

Brian Lefley scored with 4 1/2 minutes left in the 2nd to take a bit of the pressure and make it 7-4, but Wayne Cashman and Terry O'Reilly responded early in the 3rd.  After Tom Miller and Johnny Bucyk traded goals to make it 8-7, the Bruins had a chance to tie late in the third.  Years later, Islander goaltender Bill Smith described to Sports Illustrated what happened next:  "Finally, when it was 8-7, Wayne Cashman took a shot from the blue line that hit me in the head. Harris picked the puck up and went down and scored, or we (surely) would have blown it."

Eric Hornick has been the statistician on Islander home game telecasts since 1982. Information contained in "The Skinny" has been gathered from various sources. Follow Eric @ehornick on Twitter & on his blog www.nyiskinny.com

Forever1940 is the nom de plume of Eric Hornick, statistician on Islander home telecasts since January 21, 1982. Visit my blog: NYISkinny.com and follow me on Twitter @ehornick

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