Through 19 games the Isles have won only 45.1% of their face-offs, which places them 28th in a 30-team league.
What should be concerning is how many games they have been dominated in draws, and how many game (well, none) that they have dominated.
Consider these numbers:
Faceoff win %
- 36%-41% 8 times
- 42% 50% 5 times
- 51%-55% 6 times
So, in over 40% of their games (8/19), the Isles have lost 59% of their face-offs or worse.
In terms of raw differentials:
- In 6 games, the Isles have won 0 to 5 more draws than they lost
- In 5 games, the Isles lost 1 to 8 more draws than they won
- In 6 games, the Isles lost 9 to 11 more draws than they won
Two games were even worse than that, and ironically the Isles won both games: On Tuesday vs Nashville, they were outdrawn 38-22 (-16) and on October 25th in Pittsburgh they were outdrawn 48-27 (-21).
The Isles were a much better team on the draw last year, when they won 49.7% -- they lost 16 more than they won over the course of 48 games (or 1 draw every 3 games). This year the Isles have lost 112 more draws than they have won -- nearly 6 per game!
None of the Islander regular centers have won more draws than they lost this season:
- Cizikas 49.8%
- Nielsen 48.3%
- Tavares 43.5%
- Regin 41.0%
Oh, the two best teams on the draw in the NHL are Nashville (55.2%) and Los Angeles (also 55.2%). The Kings are at the Coliseum on Thursday.
Forever1940 is the nom de plume of Eric Hornick, statistician on Islander home telecasts since January 21, 1982. Visit my blog: NYISkinny.com and follow me on Twitter @ehornick
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