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The Skinny: Carolina 3, Isles 2 (Carolina leads series 3-0)

"The Skinny" By Eric Hornick Eastern Conference Round 1, Game 3 Carolins 3, Isles 2 Carolina Leads Series 3-0 Sebastian Aho scored...

Friday, November 18, 2022

The Skinny: Nashville 5, Isles 4

"The Skinny"      

By Eric Hornick

Game 18
Nashville 5, Isles 4
Rookie Juuso Parssinen scored twice, including the eventual game-winner on a third period power play and Roman Josi added four assists as the Nashville Predators held off the Islanders for a 5-4 victory before a crowd of 17,159 at Bridgestone Arena in Nashville.

The Isles fell behind 4-1 midway through the second period but battled back within a goal twice in the third period.  However, they could not find the tying goal, and dropped to 1-1-0 on this road trip.

The Isles fall to 11-7-0 on the season after only their third loss in the last twelve games (9-3-0); game 3 of this four-game trip is Saturday in Dallas.

The Scoring:
1st Period
Filip Forsberg (6) Roman Josi (8), Juuso Parssinen (1) 01:03 NYI 0,NSH 1
Adam Pelech (2) Ryan Pulock (6) 02:43 NYI 1,NSH 1
Colton Sissons (1) Cole Smith (5), Roman Josi (9) 08:43 NYI 1,NSH 2
Nino Niederreiter (8) Ryan McDonagh (6), Roman Josi (10) 09:41 NYI 1,NSH 3

2nd Period
Juuso Parssinen (2) Filip Forsberg (11), Dante Fabbro (4) 05:01 NYI 1,NSH 4
Cal Clutterbuck (2) Matt Martin (3), Adam Pelech (6) 15:41 NYI 2,NSH 4

3rd Period
Kyle Palmieri (6) Jean-Gabriel Pageau (8), Alexander Romanov (5) 04:32 NYI 3,NSH 4
Juuso Parssinen (3) Mikael Granlund (12), Roman Josi (11) 09:52 NYI 3,NSH 5 PPG
Jean-Gabriel Pageau (3) Anders Lee (9), Mathew Barzal (19) 15:39 NYI 4,NSH 5 PPG

The Skinny             
The Isles did not reach 11 wins last season until January 13th (11-12-6)...Mathew Barzal has fifteen assists in the last thirteen games (0-15-15); he is the first Islander in 38 years to have at least nineteen assists in the first eighteen games.  Only Nathan MacKinnon (20) has more assists that Mathew Barzal (19), who is now just one point behind Ziggy Palffy on the club's all-time scoring list; Barzal now leads the Isles in points with 19 and is on pace for career highs in assists and points (87)… The Isles have outscored their opponents 30-16 in the third period with six of those 28 goals being empty netters … The Isles lead the NHL with 30 third period goals; they have scored 31 goals in the 1st period, 2nd period, and overtime combined… The Isles have allowed ten power play goals in the last ten games after being perfect on the penalty kill in the first eight games this season….The Isles power play is now 9-28 (32%) on the road, but only 2-25 (8%) at home….The Isles hit five posts…Brock Nelson played in his 694th game, tying Brent Sutter for 10th on the all-time club list…Ryan McDonagh played his 800th NHL game…The Isles allowed three goals in the first period for the first time this season and only the third time in the last three seasons…Kyle Palmieri scored his 6th goal last season on March 1st in Colorado…Roman Josi tied the Preds' record with three assists in a period (1st); he added a 4th assist on the winning goal – it is the third time in his career that he has had at least four assists.  Josi's three first period assists all came within the first ten minutes; it's only the 9th time in NHL history (plus once in playoffs) that a defenseman has done that. …Kyle Palmieri played in his 699th NHL game, while Adam Pelech played in his 399th game (all with the Isles)… Juuso Parssinen is the first rookie to score twice against the Isles since Tanner Jeannot did it for Nashville last October 30th.

First Times in a Really Long Time
Mathew Barzal is the first Islander in 38 years to have at least nineteen assists in the first eighteen games.  Four players (Mike Bossy, Brent Sutter, Pat LaFontaine and John Tonelli) did so that year.

The 30 goals scored by the Isles in the first 18 third periods are also their most since the 1984-85 season.

Most Assists Without a Goal (First 18 team-games)
1. Gary Suter 20 (1991-92)
2. Mathew Barzal 19 (2022-23)
Suter had 21 assists thru 24 games that season before scoring in his 25th game.

Most Assists Before Scoring First Goal (Forwards)
1. Alex Delvecchio 22 (1969-70)
2. Martin Erat 21 (2013-14)
3. Andrew Cassels 20 (1995)
4. Mathew Barzal 19 (2022-23)

Last Year vs. This Year
2021-22  11-7-0 for 22 points in 18 games
2020-21  5-10-3 for 13 points in 18 games

Offense from Defense
Today:  1-3-4
Season: 15-28-43
Last Season (Final) 32-128-160

The Islander defense have scored an NHL-leading fifteen goals; they didn't score their 15th goal last season until February 24th.   

Hit Parade 
Most Career Hits (recognized by NHL beginning with 2005-06 season)
1. Dustin Brown 3,632
2. Cal Clutterbuck 3,624
3. Matt Martin 3,466

Home is Where The Sorokin Is
Ilya Sorokin went 13-5-4 at UBS Arena last season and is 4-3-0 this season,  despite allowing just 12 goals in the seven games (1.86 GAA, .945 save percentage). The Isles have scored only two goals in his three home losses this year and only ten goals in his eight career regulation losses at UBS.

Among goalies who have played at least fifteen home games over the last two seasons, Sorokin has the second highest save percentage (.933) and the third-lowest goals against average (2.08). 

Zach Attack 
Zach Parise's has 413 career goals, good for 9th among actives.  Zach is now tied with Garry Unger and Islander Assistant Coach John MacLean for 92nd place.  Tony Amonte is 91st with 416 goals.

Most Goals and Points by an Islander Defenseman before 23rd Birthday
Denis Potvin (72-168-240) 
Bryan Berard (26-83-109)
Noah Dobson (22-61-83)
Tomas Jonsson (22-60-82)
Paul Boutilier (20-69-89) 

Dobson is now tied 3rd in goals and 4th in points. The Isles will play 41 games this season before Dobson turns 23 on January 7, 2023.

Home and Road
The Isles are 11-7-0 overall; they are 6-3-0 at home and 5-4-0 on the road.
Nashville is 8-8-1 overall; they are 5-3-1 at home and 3-5-0 on the road.

East and West
The Isles are 5-5-0 against the East and 6-2-0 against the West.

Home is Where the Fans Are
The Isles have played 50 games at UBS Arena and recorded 34 sellouts. The sellout crowds of 17,255 are the largest indoor crowds to ever see the Islanders play at home. 

Sweet Lou
Lou Lamoriello has the second-highest win total for any general manager in NHL history:
1. David Poile 1,498
2. Lou Lamoriello 1,374
3. Glen Sather 1,319

First Things First
The Isles are 6-0-0 when scoring first and are 5-7-0 when allowing the opening goal.  

The Shots
Isles          7-10-16=33
Nashville  18-10-3=31
The Isles are 5-3-0 when they outshoot their opponents, 0-1-0 when the shots are even and 6-3-0 when they are outshot. 

In the Nets
Ilya Sorokin made 26 saves; he is 7-5-0 on the season and 0-1-1 vs Nashville.

Juuse Saros made 29 saves; he is 6-6-1 on the season and 6-0-1 vs. the Isles.

Special Teams
The Isles were 1-3 on the power play (4:11); Nashville was 1-3 on the power play (4:06). 

The Isles are 5-3-0 when they score at least one power play goal and 6-4-0 when they do not. The Isles are 6-3-0 when they allow at least one power play goal and 5-4-0 when they do not.

Three is (Usually) a Magic Number
The Isles are 11-2-0 when they score at least three goals (including shootout winners) and are 0-5-0 when they do not.

One-Goal Games
The Isles are 4-2-0 in games decided by a single goal including 2-2 in regulation. They are 2-0 in games decided in overtime and are 0-0 in shootouts. The Isles are 3-2 in games in which an empty-net goal turns a 1-goal game into a 2-goal game.

Back-to-Backs
The next set of back-to-backs will be in Columbus on November 25th and against Philadelphia on November 26th.  The Isles are 2-1-0 in the front end and 2-1-0 in the back end. 

Ice-time Leaders
Isles: Noah Dobson (23:17);  Nashville: Roman Josi (25:11)
Mathew Barzal led Isles forwards with 23:08 of ice-time. 

Isles record by ice-time leaders: Alexander Romanov (2-1-0), Noah Dobson (2-4-0), Adam Pelech (2-1-0), Ryan Pulock (2-1-0), Scott Mayfield (1-0-0), Brock Nelson (1-0-0), Mathew Barzal (1-0-0)

Face-offs
Isles 26, Nashville 28 (48%)
Brock Nelson won 12 of 20 for the Isles; Ryan Johansen won 11 of 17 for Nashville. 

Hit Count
Isles 37 (Matt Martin and JG Pageau-6)
Nashville 18 (Jeremy Lauzon 3)
Fights 
None.  Season total: 3 (Johnston, Lee, Martin)
 
Blocked Shots
Isles 8 (Noah Dobson -3)
Nashville 22 (Two with 4)

For the Analytics Crowd 
Corsi: All situations: Isles 73, Nashville 53  
Corsi: 5-on-5: Isles 50, Nashville 47

5-on-5 leaders:
Isles: Sebastian Aho +10
Nashville: Ryan McDonough +10

High Danger Scoring Chances (per Natural Stat Trick)
All situations: Isles 13, Nashville 12
5-on-5: Isles 8, Nashville 11

Scratches
Robin Salo, Josh Bailey
Games Lost: 7

The Ironman
Zach Parise played in his 100th consecutive Islander game; he has played in every game since joining the team in October 2021.

Challenges
Isles: 1 successful, 0 failures – STL goalie interference 11/3

Opponents: 0 successful, 0 failures

League reviews:  1 (Isles goal – Salo vs ANA 10/16 – stood)

Multi-Goal 3rd Period Comeback Wins
The Isles have come from two goals behind after two periods to win three times this season and have not allowed the opposition to do so.
For: Trailed 3-1, Won 5-3 vs. COL 10/29
Trailed 3-1, Won 4-3 (OT) vs CGY 11/7
Trailed 3-1, Won 4-3 at NYR 11/8

Last Minute Heroes:
The Isles have scored one goal and allowed no goals in the final three minutes of the third period that were either the winning goal or forced overtime. 
For: Brock Nelson vs COL 10/29 (18:39;EN/GW), 

Overtime Winners
For (2): Noah Dobson vs CGY 11/7 (4:02)
Zach Parise vs CBJ 11/12 (0:39) 

All-time Islander Leader Boards:
Games Played (skaters)
1. Bryan Trottier 1,123 *** 2. Denis Potvin 1,060 *** 3. Josh Bailey 1,008…
8. Patrick Flatley 712 *** 9. Matt Martin 702 *** 10. Brent Sutter and Brock Nelson 694 *** 12. Casey Cizikas 680… 
15. Billy Harris 623 *** 16. Stefan Persson 622 *** 17. Anders Lee 613 *** 18. Frans Nielsen 605 *** 19. Cal Clutterbuck 603

Goals    
1. Mike Bossy 573 *** 2. Bryan Trottier 500 *** 3. Denis Potvin 310 …
9. Bobby Nystrom 235 *** 10. Anders Lee 220 *** 11. Brock Nelson 214 *** 12. Derek King 211 *** 13. John Tonelli 206  *** 14 Billy Harris 184 *** 15. Josh Bailey 178

Assists
1. Bryan Trottier 853 *** 2. Denis Potvin 742 *** 3. Mike Bossy 553 *** 4. Josh Bailey 381…
15. Billy Harris 259*** 16. Tomas Jonsson 249 *** 17. Mathew Barzal 239 *** 18. Frans Nielsen and Kyle Okposo 230 *** 20. Nick Leddy 198 *** 21. Pierre Turgeon 193 *** 22. Brock Nelson 191

Points
1. Bryan Trottier 1,353 *** 2. Mike Bossy 1,126 *** 3. Denis Potvin 1,052…
6.  Brent Sutter 610 *** 7. Pat LaFontaine 566 *** 8. Josh Bailey 560  …
14. Billy Harris 443 *** 15. Brock Nelson 405 ***  16. Anders Lee 384…
19. Fran Nielsen 349 *** 20. Pierre Turgeon 340 *** 21. Tomas Jonsson 333 *** 22. Ziggy Palffy 331 *** 23. Mathew Barzal 330

+/-
1. Bryan Trottier +467 *** 2. Denis Potvin +456 *** 3. Mike Bossy +380…
16. Tomas Jonsson +76 *** 17. Garry Howatt +75 *** 18. Adam Pelech +73 *** 19. Pat Price +70 *** 20. JP Parise +67 *** 21. Jude Drouin +58 *** 22. Patrick Flatley +57 *** 23. Greg Gilbert +54   

Wins
1. Billy Smith 304 *** 2. Glenn Resch 157 *** 3. Rick DiPietro 130…
10. Evgeni Nabokov 57 *** 11. Semyon Varlamov 52 *** 12. Mark Fitzpatrick 51 *** 13. Chris Osgood 49 *** 14. Ilya Sorokin 46

Shutouts
1. Glenn Resch 25 *** 2. Billy Smith 22 *** 3. Rick DiPietro 16 …
4. Tommy Salo 14 *** 5. Jaroslav Halak 12 *** 6. Ilya Sorokin and Semyon Varlamov 11

On the Farm
Bridgeport is 7-2-3-0 heading into this weekend's 3-in-3 series.  Bridgeport will host Charlotte on Friday and Wilkes Barre-Scranton on Saturday before playing Sunday afternoon in Providence.  

Rookie Ruslan Ishakov leads the team in points (14) and is tied for the club assist lead with Samuel Bolduc (10). Andy Andreoff leads the team in goals (6).  Cory Schneider is 5-1-1 on the season for the Baby Isles.

Season Series Stats
Nashville leads the season series, 1 game to 0 (and 2 points to 0). The teams will complete the season series on December 2nd at UBS Arena. 

The Isles are 0-6-2 in their last eight games with Nashville, including 0-3-1 in Music City.  

UP NEXT
SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 19th  —ISLANDERS AT DALLAS 8:00pm
[MSGSN (pre-game at 7:30pm), WRHU 88.7 FM, WRCN 103.9FM, ESPN Radio]
Game three of the road trip is in Dallas as the Isles face the Stars for the first time this season. 

The teams have split each of the last three season series that they have played.  Last season the Isles earned a 4-2 win at home in mid-March and then dropped a 3-2 decision in Big D seventeen days later as Radek Faksa's shorty was the difference.

Eric Hornick has been the statistician on Islander home game telecasts since 1982. Information contained in "The Skinny" has been gathered from various sources. Follow Eric @ehornick on Twitter & on his blog www.nyiskinny.com


Forever1940 is the nom de plume of Eric Hornick, statistician on Islander home telecasts since January 21, 1982. Visit my blog: NYISkinny.com and follow me on Twitter @ehornick

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