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The Skinny: Carolina 6, Isles 3 (Carolina wins series 4-1)

"The Skinny" By Eric Hornick Eastern Conference Round 1, Game 5 Carolina 6, Isles 3 Carolina Wins Series 4-1 School is out. Jack D...

Thursday, April 20, 2023

Re: The Skinny: Carolina 4, Isles 3 (OT). Carolina leads 2 games to 0.

(Obviously the series is 2-0, not 3-2)

Forever1940 is the nom de plume of Eric Hornick, statistician on Islander home telecasts since January 21, 1982. Visit my blog: NYISkinny.com and follow me on Twitter @ehornick

On Thursday, April 20, 2023 at 12:08:50 AM EDT, Eric Hornick <forever1940@yahoo.com> wrote:

"The Skinny"

By Eric Hornick

Eastern Conference Round 1, Game 2
Carolina 4, Isles 3 (OT)   
Carolina Leads Series 2-0
Jesper Fast scored 5:03 into overtime as the Carolina Hurricanes rallied from a 3-2 deficit in the third period to defeat the Islanders 4-3 in Game 2 of their series before a sellout crowd of 18,680 at PNC Arena.  

The Isles fell behind 2-0 but got goals from Kyle Palmieri, Mathew Barzal and Brock Nelson to take a 3-2 lead in the third period; Jaccob Slavin put one in off the back of Ilya Sorokin's head to force overtime.

It was Fast's first career overtime goal; the Canes have won their last five overtime games, winning each game within the first six minutes of extra time.

Game 3 will be on Friday as UBS Arena hosts the first playoff game in the building's history.

The Scoring:
1st Period
Paul Stastny (1) Jaccob Slavin (1), Seth Jarvis (1) 05:49 NYI 0,CAR 1

2nd Period
Stefan Noesen (2)OWN 07:19 NYI 0,CAR 2 PPG
Kyle Palmieri (1) Noah Dobson (1), Brock Nelson (1) 10:48 NYI 1,CAR 2
Mathew Barzal (1) Adam Pelech (1) 19:39 NYI 2,CAR 2

3rd Period
Brock Nelson (1) Kyle Palmieri (1), Noah Dobson (2) 09:18 NYI 3,CAR 2
Jaccob Slavin (1) Sebastian Aho (1), Brent Burns (3) 12:19 NYI 3,CAR 3

Jesper Fast (1) Jordan Staal (1), Brent Burns (4) 05:03 NYI 3,CAR 4

The Series 
Game 1: Carolina 2, ISLES 1
Game 2: Carolina 4, ISLES 3 (OT)
Game 3: Friday at UBS Arena 7:00
Game 4: Sunday at UBS Arena 1:00
Game 5: (if needed) Tuesday at Carolina
Game 6: (if needed) Friday, April 28 at UBS Arena
Game 7: (if needed) Sunday, April 30 at Carolina

The Skinny    
Ryan Pulock had 7 hits, giving him 16 for the series…The Isles trailed 1-0 after one period; it is the 22nd consecutive playoff game that the Isles have not led after the first session.  That is the longest such streak since Montreal Maroons had a 26-game streak from 1928-1935…Antti Raanta is now 8-0 in home playoff games for Carolina…It was the first career overtime goal for Jesper Fast…Brent Burns had two assists for the second straight game; it was his 18th career 2-assist playoff game, tying Kris Letang for second place among active defenseman (Victor Hedman has 24)… Antti Raanta is 2-0 in playoff overtime while Ilya Sorokin is now 2-1…Kyle Palmieri now has eight playoff goals for the Isles (most of any Islander in 2021 and 2023 playoff runs)…Brock Nelson's goal was his 24th, tying Brent Sutter for ninth place on the all-time Isles list…Noah Dobson had his second career two-assist game, becoming the first Islander defenseman since Roman Hamrlik (2002-2003 with three) to at least two multiple-assist games.

The Injury
Teuvo Teravainen left the game with 3:30 to play and did not return. Rod Brind'Amour told reporters that he will need hand surgery and will not play again in this series.

First Time in a Long Time
Carolina had all six power plays in the game.  It is the first time since Game 2 of the 1981 Final that an opponent has had at least six more power plays than the Isles (Minnesota 8, Isles 2).  It is only the second time since power play attempts were officially recorded in 1978 that one team has had at least six power plays while the other team had none (TB 6 vs CBJ 0 in 5-4 OT win for TB 8/19/2020 to win series, 3 games to 2)

First Time Ever
It is the first time in Islander playoff history that they did not have a power play.

From Here to Infinity
Stefan Noesen scored for the second straight game when his shot was deflected into the Islander goal by the Isles' Sebastian Aho.  The goal is noted as an "Own Goal", meaning that Noesen is not credited with a shot on goal.  He finished the game with one goal on zero shots, for a shooting percentage of Infinity.

Pulock the Playoff Scorer
Ryan Pulock is 5th among Islander defensemen in career playoff goals:
1. Denis Potvin 56 
2. Ken Morrow 11
3. Mike McEwen 9 
        Tomas Jonsson 9
5. Ryan Pulock 8
The four players ahead of him share 14 Stanley Cup rings with the Islanders.

Pulock the Playoff Hitter
In regular season play, Ryan Pulock averages 1.6 hits (703 hits in 428 games).  In the playoffs, Pulock has 166 hits in 57 games (2.9 per game), and he holds the Isles career record (real-time era) for playoff hits.

Most Hits by an Isles Defenseman (Playoffs, since 2007)
Johnny Boychuk  10  4/23/2015 @ WSH
Ryan Pulock 9 4/17/2023@ CAR 
Ryan Pulock 8 5/16/2021@ PIT
Ryan Pulock 8 5/20/2021vs PIT

Going Wild
Wild Card teams are 10-18 in 28 previous series against division champions. This is the second time that the Isles have qualified as a Wild Card; they defeated Florida in six games in 2016 for their first playoff series win in 23 years. (The Wild Card has existed since 2014, but it was not used in 2020 or 2021).

The Goals (Series)
Isles        0-3-1-0=4
Carolina  2-2-1-1=6

The Shots (Series)
Isles       18-15-16-3=52
Carolina 26-24-19-4=73

Game 1: Led: 0:00, Tied: 4:11, Trailed: 55:49
Game 2: Led: 3:01, Tied:28:12,  Trailed 33:50
Series:   Led: 3:01, Tied: 32:23, Trailed: 89:39

Playoffs All-Time
The Isles fall to 172-143 in 315 all-time playoff games. They are 95-53 at home (88-44 at the Coliseum, 2-5 at Barclays, 5-2 in Toronto and 1-2 in Edmonton) and 76-90 on the road. In this year's playoffs, the Isles are 0-0 at home and 0-2 on the road.

The Isles have scored 993 goals in their playoff history.  They are looking to be the 12th NHL team to reach 1,000 (Colorado has 980 and is the only team that is close)

Offense from Defense
Today:  0-3-3
Playoffs 1-3-4

Home is Where the Fans Are
The Isles have played 82 regular season games at UBS Arena and recorded 60 sellouts of 17,255. 

Overtime is (Usually) Our Time
The Isles are 40-23 (.635) all-time in overtime, including 20-13 at home. The Isles are 0-1 in overtime in 2023 and have gone 11-10 in 21 overtime games since 2015. The Isles are the best overtime team in Stanley Cup history: 
Isles 40-23 .635   (0-1 this year)
Carolina 28-17 .622 (1-0 this year)
Anaheim 24-15 .615
Tampa Bay 23-16 .590
Colorado 46-33  .582

The Isles are tied for the best road percentage in Stanley Cup history:
Isles 20-10 .667  (0-1 this year)
Tampa Bay 14-7 .667
Anaheim 15-8 .652
Colorado 26-14 .650
Carolina 13-9 .591

The Isles' winning percentage is tied-3rd at home in overtime games (teams playing at least 5 home games)
Carolina 15-8 .652  (1-0 this year)
Chicago 30-18-1 .612
Isles 20-13 .606
Buffalo 20-13 .606
Montreal 46-29-1 .605

Overtime vs. Carolina
The Isles are 0-2 all-time in playoff overtime games vs. Carolina:
4/26/19 Vs Jordan Staal L (0-1) 04:04  (Brooklyn*)
4/19/23 @ Jesper Fast L (3-4)  05:03
*It was the last overtime game and penultimate playoff game at Barclays Center.

Sweet Lou
Lou Lamoriello has the second-highest post-season win total for any general manager in NHL history:
1. Glen Sather 187-137
2. Lou Lamoriello 169-147

Sather (324) is also the only GM with more playoff games than Lamoriello (316).

First Things First
The Isles are 0-0 when scoring first and are 0-2 when allowing the opening goal.

The Shots
Isles      8-8-7-3=26
Carolina  12-9-11-4=36

Shots by Game
Game 1:  Isles 25, Carolina 37
Game 2:  Isles 26, Carolina 36
Series:    Isles 51, Carolina 73

The Isles are 0-0 when they outshoot their opponents, 0-0 when the shots are even and 0-2 when they are out-shot.

In the Nets
Ilya Sorokin made 32 saves; he is 0-2 this year and 4-3 in his playoff career.   
Antti Raanta made 23 saves; he is 2-0 this year and 8-6 in his playoff career.

Special Teams
The Isles did not have a power play (0:00); Carolina was 1-6 on the power play (9:18).

Power Plays by Game
Game 1: Isles 0-4 (8:00, 4 shots), Carolina 2-4 (4:52, 5 shots)
Game 2: Isles 0-0 (0:00, 0 shots), Carolina 1-6 (9:18, 8 shots)
Series: Isles 0-4 (8:00, 4 shots), Carolina 3-10 (14:10, 13 shots)

The Isles are 0-0 when they score at least one power play goal and 0-2 when they do not. The Isles are 0-2 when they allow at least one power play goal and 0-0 when they do not.

Three is (Usually) a Magic Number
The Isles are 0-1 when they score at least three goals and are 0-1 when they do not.

One-Goal Games
The Isles are 0-2 in games decided by a single goal (0-1 in regulation and 0-1 in overtime). The Isles are 0-0 in games in which an empty-net goal turns a 1-goal game into a 2-goal game.

Ice-time Leaders
Isles: Scott Mayfield (28:44);  Carolina: Brady Skjei (25:47)
Bo Horvat led Isles forwards with 21:03 of ice-time. 

Isles record by ice-time leaders: Noah Dobson (0-1), Scott Mayfield (0-1).

Isles 30, Carolina 26 (54%)
Brock Nelson won 6 of 10 for the Isles; Jack Drury won 5 of 5 for Carolina. 

Face-offs by Game
Game 1: Isles 35, Carolina 37 (48%)
Game 2: Isles 30, Carolina 26 (54%)
Series  : Isles 65, Carolina 63 (51%)

Hit Count
Isles 54 (Ryan Pulock and Cal Clutterbuck -7)
Carolina 28 (Brady Skjei -5)

Hits by Game
Game 1: Isles 44, Carolina 39
Game 2: Isles 54. Carolina 28
Series   : Isles 98, Carolina 67

None. Playoff total: 0

Blocked Shots
Isles 17 (Sebastian Aho and Ryan Pulock -3)
Carolina 17 (Two with 3)

For the Analytics Crowd 
Corsi: All situations: Isles 58, Carolina 72
Corsi: 5-on-5: Isles 54, Carolina 53

Corsi Game by Game:
Game 1: (All) Isles 57, Carolina 73; (5-on-5) Isles 42, Carolina 62
Game 2: (All) Isles 58, Carolina 72; (5-on-5) Isles 54, Carolina 53
Series: (All) Isles 115, Carolina 145; (5-on-5) Isles 96, Carolina 115

5-on-5 leaders:
Isles:  Adam Pelech +1
Carolina: Seth Jarvis +14

Oliver Wahlstrom-IR), (Alexander Romanov- INJ), Parker Wotherspoon, Ross Johnston, Simon Holmstrom, Jakub Skarek
Playoff Games Lost: 4

The Ironman (Playoffs)
Matt Martin played in his 75th consecutive Islander playoff game; he has played in every Islander playoff game since 2013.

Isles: 0 successful, 0 failures  

Opponents: 0 successful, 0 failures

League reviews: 0  

The Isles have not scored two goals in under a minute during this postseason.   They did so seven times in the regular season. 

Multi-Goal 3rd Period Comeback Wins
There has not been a multi-goal third period comeback in this year's playoffs.
The Isles came from two goals behind after two periods to win four times and allowed the opposition to do so once in the regular season.
Last Minute Heroes:
There has not been a tying or winning goal in the final three minutes of the third period in the playoffs,
In the regular season, the Isles scored four goals and allowed one goal in the final three minutes of the third period that were either the winning goal or forced overtime. 

Overtime Winners
Playoffs:  For 0, Vs. 1.   (Jesper Fast R1G2 vs CAR 5:03)
Regular Season: For 5, Vs. 4

Active Islander Playoff Leaders: (As NYI)
Matt Martin 75
Casey Cizikas 71
Josh Bailey 71
Brock Nelson 69
Cal Clutterbuck 67
Ryan Pulock 57
Scott Mayfield 53

Consecutive Games:
Matt Martin 75 (every game since start of 2013 playoffs)
Brock Nelson 64
Ryan Pulock 53
Mathew Barzal 51
Scott Mayfield 51

Brock Nelson 24
Josh Bailey 16
Mathew Barzal 14
Jean-Gabriel Pageau 11
Cal Clutterbuck 10
Anders Lee 8
Ryan Pulock 8
Kyle Palmieri 8
Matt Martin 7
Casey Cizikas 5

Josh Bailey 34
Mathew Barzal 25
Brock Nelson 19
Ryan Pulock 13
Jean-Gabriel Pageau 13
Adam Pelech 11
Scott Mayfield 10
Casey Cizikas 10
Noah Dobson 9

Josh Bailey 50
Brock Nelson 43
Mathew Barzal 39
Jean-Gabriel Pageau 24
Ryan Pulock 21
Cal Clutterbuck 17
Anders Lee 16
Casey Cizikas 15

Penalty Minutes:
Matt Martin 111
Cal Clutterbuck 70
Casey Cizikas 48
Scott Mayfield 45
Mathew Barzal 37
Anders Lee 30

Scott Mayfield +21
Jean-Gabriel Pageau +19
Kyle Palmieri +8
Adam Pelech +6
Mathew Barzal +4
Noah Dobson +4

PP Goals
Mathew Barzal 4
Ryan Pulock 3
Josh Bailey 3
Anders Lee 3
Brock Nelson 3 
Oliver Wahlstrom 1
Kyle Palmieri 1

SH Goals
Josh Bailey 1
GW Goals
Brock Nelson 7
Ryan Pulock 3
Josh Bailey 3
Mathew Barzal 2
Scott Mayfield 1
Kyle Palmieri 1
Casey Cizikas 1
Matt Martin 1

OT Goals 
Josh Bailey 2
Mathew Barzal 1
Kyle Palmieri 1
Casey Cizikas 1

Ilya Sorokin 4-3 2.82 GAA, .924 save percentage.
Semyon Varlamov 18-14  2.30 GAA, .922 save percentage.

(Varlamov's 18 wins is second in club history to Billy Smith's 88. Among goalies who have played at least ten post-season games, Varlamov has the best goals against average and best save percentage in club history.)

Series Stats
Carolina leads the series, 2 game to 0.  

The Isles are 0-6 all-time in playoff games against Carolina, including 0-4 in Raleigh.

The Isles are 3-10 in best-of-7 playoff series when they drop Games 1 and 2; they have lost the last seven series that they trailed 0-2 since beating Montreal in the 1984 Conference Finals.

Carolina is 8-2 when leading a best-of-7 by a 2-0 margin.

[MSGSN (Pre-game at 6:30), TBS, WRHU 88.7 FM, WRCN 103.9FM, ESPN Radio]
UBS Arena will host the first playoff game as the series switches to Long Island for Game 3. 

The Isles went 6-3 in home playoff games in 2021 and will look for help from the home crowd to get them back in the series.

When trailing 2-0 in a series, the Isles are 6-7 in Game 3.

Brendan Burke, Butch Goring and Thomas Hickey will have the Isles broadcast on MSGSN.  Out-of-area fans can catch the game with Dave Randorf, Keith Jones, and Bryce Salvador on TBS.

Eric Hornick has been the statistician on Islander home game telecasts since 1982. Information contained in "The Skinny" has been gathered from various sources. Follow Eric @ehornick on Twitter & on his blog www.nyiskinny.com

Forever1940 is the nom de plume of Eric Hornick, statistician on Islander home telecasts since January 21, 1982. Visit my blog: NYISkinny.com and follow me on Twitter @ehornick

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