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The Skinny: Isles 3, Dallas 2 (OT)

"The Skinny" By Eric Hornick Game 58 Isles 3, Dallas 2 (OT) Mathew Barzal set-up Bo Horvat for the overtime goal as the Islanders ...

Sunday, April 23, 2023

The Skinny: Carolina 5, Isles 2

"The Skinny"

By Eric Hornick

Eastern Conference Round 1, Game 3
Carolina 5, Isles 2   
Carolina Leads Series 3-1
Seth Jarvis scored twice, and Sebastian Aho added three points as the Carolina Hurricanes grabbed a three game to one lead in the series with 5-2 victory over the Islanders before a sellout crowd of 17,255 at UBS Arena. 

For the second time in the series, Carolina grabbed a 2-0 lead with a pair of power play goals; however, this time the Isles could not get back in the game as the Canes had leads of 4-0 and 5-1 in the third period.

The Isles will look to stave off elimination in game five on Tuesday in Raleigh.  If they do so, the series would return to UBS Arena on Friday. 

The Scoring:
1st Period
Seth Jarvis (1) Stefan Noesen (1), Brent Burns (5) 04:05 CAR 1,NYI 0 PPG

2nd Period
Martin Necas (1) Stefan Noesen (2), Sebastian Aho (2) 01:15 CAR 2,NYI 0 PPG
Sebastian Aho (2) Mackenzie MacEachern (1) 13:30 CAR 3,NYI 0 

3rd Period
Seth Jarvis (2) Sebastian Aho (3), Brett Pesce (1) 01:20 CAR 4,NYI 0
Adam Pelech (1) Brock Nelson (2) 03:14 CAR 4,NYI 1
Mackenzie MacEachern (1) Brady Skjei (1) 14:01 CAR 5,NYI 1
Bo Horvat (1) Scott Mayfield (2) 17:57 CAR 5,NYI 2 SHG

The Series 
Game 1: Carolina 2, ISLES 1
Game 2: Carolina 4, ISLES 3 (OT)
Game 3: ISLES 5, Carolina 1
Game 4: Carolina 5, ISLES 2
Game 5: Tuesday at Carolina 7:00
Game 6: (if needed) Friday at UBS Arena
Game 7: (if needed) Sunday, April 30 at Carolina

The Skinny    
The Isles trailed 1-0 after the first period; it was the 24th  consecutive playoff game that the Isles have not led after the first session. That is the longest such streak since Montreal Maroons had a 26-game streak from 1928-1935…Antti Raanta is 8-0 in home playoff games for Carolina, but this was his first road win in eight tries (1-7) on the road… Ryan Pulock had 6 shots, 4 hits and two blocks; he leads the team in both hits (23) and blocks (11) … The Isles have not scored a first period goal in the series; going back to 2021 the Isles have not scored a first period goal in nine straight playoff games.…Bo Horvat's shorthanded goal was the 1,000th playoff goal in Islander history…The Isles allowed a 5-on-3 goal in a playoff game for the first time since May 5, 2013, vs. Pittsburgh…Sebastian Aho recorded his 20th career playoff goal to take sole possession of the franchise record; he also holds the record for both assists and points.

The Injury
Carolina's Jack Drury played only 1:19 before leaving the game on a hit from Ryan Pulock.  Pulock was assessed a boarding penalty and the Canes scored on the subsequent 5-on-3.

First Times in a Long Time
The Isles allowed a 5-on-3 goal in a playoff game for the first time since May 5, 2013, vs. Pittsburgh.
The Hurricanes ended an eight-game road playoff losing streak.  It was their first road win since they beat the Isles in the final playoff game ever played at Barclays Center (4-28-2019). 

3 FOR 30
Bo Horvat scored a late shorthanded goal.  It was only the third time in the last thirty years that the Isles scored a playoff shorthanded goal (Kyle Okposo 5/5/2013 vs PIT; Josh Bailey 8-12-2020 in Bubble vs WSH.

Parise to Pulock to Cizikas
Casey Cizikas scored the first Islander playoff goal at UBS Arena on Friday; JP Parise had done so at Nassau Coliseum while Ryan Pulock did it at Barclays Center.

Pulock the Playoff Scorer
Ryan Pulock is 5th among Islander defensemen in career playoff goals:
1. Denis Potvin 56 
2. Ken Morrow 11
3. Mike McEwen 9 
        Tomas Jonsson 9
5. Ryan Pulock 8
The four players ahead of him share 14 Stanley Cup rings with the Islanders.

Pulock the Playoff Hitter
In regular season play, Ryan Pulock averages 1.6 hits (703 hits in 428 games).  In the playoffs, Pulock has 173 hits in 59 games (2.9 per game), and he holds the Isles career record (real-time era) for playoff hits.

Most Hits by an Isles Defenseman (Playoffs, since 2007)
Johnny Boychuk  10  4/23/2015 @ WSH
Ryan Pulock 9 4/17/2023@ CAR 
Ryan Pulock 8 5/16/2021@ PIT
Ryan Pulock 8 5/20/2021vs PIT

Going Wild
Wild Card teams are 10-18 in 28 previous series against division champions. This is the second time that the Isles have qualified as a Wild Card; they defeated Florida in six games in 2016 for their first playoff series win in 23 years. (The Wild Card has existed since 2014, but it was not used in 2020 or 2021).

The Goals (Series)
Isles        0-4-7-0=11
Carolina  3-5-3-1=12

The Shots (Series)
Isles       34-37-44-3=118
Carolina 48-45-36-4=133

Game 1: Led: 0:00, Tied: 4:11, Trailed: 55:49
Game 2: Led: 3:01, Tied:28:12,  Trailed 33:50
Game 3: Led 7:58, Tied 52:02. Trailed 0:00
Game 4: Led: 0:00, Tied: 4:05, Trailed: 55:55
Series:   Led: 10:59, Tied: 88:30, Trailed: 145:34

Playoffs All-Time
The Isles fall to 173-144 in 317 all-time playoff games. They are 97-54 at home (88-44 at the Coliseum, 2-5 at Barclays, 5-2 in Toronto, 1-2 in Edmonton and 1-1 at UBS Arena) and 76-90 on the road. In this year's playoffs, the Isles are 1-1 at home and 0-2 on the road.

Offense from Defense
Today:  1-1-2
Playoffs 3-8-11

The Isle have scored 11 goals in the series and a defenseman has recorded exactly one point on each goal.

Home is Where the Fans Are
The Isles have played 82 regular season games at UBS Arena and recorded 60 sellouts of 17,255.  The Isles have sold out 2 playoff games as well. 

Overtime is Our Time
The Isles are 40-23 (.635) all-time in overtime, including 20-13 at home. The Isles are 0-1 in overtime in 2023 and have gone 11-10 in 21 overtime games since 2015. The Isles are the best overtime team in Stanley Cup history: 
Isles 40-23 .635 (0-1 this year)
Carolina 28-17 .622 (1-0 this year)
Anaheim 24-15 .615
Colorado 46-33  .582
Tampa Bay 23-17 .575 (0-1 this year)

The Isles are tied for the best road percentage in Stanley Cup history:
Isles 20-10 .667  (0-1 this year)
Tampa Bay 14-7 .667
Anaheim 15-8 .652
Colorado 26-14 .650
Carolina 13-9 .591

The Isles' winning percentage is tied-3rd at home in overtime games (teams playing at least 5 home games)
Carolina 15-8 .652  (1-0 this year)
Chicago 30-18-1 .612
Isles 20-13 .606
Buffalo 20-13 .606
Montreal 46-29-1 .605

Overtime vs. Carolina
The Isles are 0-2 all-time in playoff overtime games vs. Carolina:
4/26/19 Vs Jordan Staal L (0-1) 04:04  (Brooklyn*)
4/19/23 @ Jesper Fast L (3-4)  05:03
*It was the last overtime game and penultimate playoff game at Barclays Center.

Sweet Lou
Lou Lamoriello has the second-highest post-season win total for any general manager in NHL history:
1. Glen Sather 187-137
2. Lou Lamoriello 170-148

Sather (324) is also the only GM with more playoff games than Lamoriello (318).

First Things First
The Isles are 1-0 when scoring first and are 0-3 when allowing the opening goal.

The Shots
Isles        9-9-11=29
Carolina  7-12-10=29

Shots by Game
Game 1:  Isles 26, Carolina 37
Game 2:  Isles 26, Carolina 36
Game 3:  Isles 37, Carolina 31
Game 4: Isles 29, Carolina 29
Series:    Isles 118, Carolina 133

The Isles are 1-0 when they outshoot their opponents, 0-1 when the shots are even and 0-2 when they are out-shot.

In the Nets
Ilya Sorokin made 24 saves; he is 1-3 this year and 5-4 in his playoff career.   
Antti Raanta made 26 saves; he is 3-1 this year and 9-7 in his playoff career.

Special Teams
The Isles were 0-3 on the power play (5:40); Carolina was 2-5 on the power play (7:44).The Canes scored 1:26 into a 5-on-3 and allowed a late shorthanded goal.

Power Plays by Game
Game 1: Isles 0-4 (8:00, 4 shots), Carolina 2-4 (4:52, 5 shots)
Game 2: Isles 0-0 (0:00, 0 shots), Carolina 1-6 (9:18, 8 shots)
Game 3: Isles 1-5 (9:59, 10 shots), Carolina 0-4 (6:02, 3 shots)
Game 4: Isles 0-3 (5:40, 2 shots),Carolina 2-5 (7:44, 4 shots)
Series: Isles 1-12 (23:49, 16 shots), Carolina 5-19 (27:56, 20 shots)

The Isles are 1-0 when they score at least one power play goal and 0-3 when they do not. The Isles are 0-3 when they allow at least one power play goal and 1-0 when they do not.

Three is a Magic Number
The Isles are 1-1 when they score at least three goals and are 0-2 when they do not.

One-Goal Games
The Isles are 0-2 in games decided by a single goal (0-1 in regulation and 0-1 in overtime). The Isles are 0-0 in games in which an empty-net goal turns a 1-goal game into a 2-goal game.

Ice-time Leaders
Isles: Ryan Pulock (24:44);  Carolina: Brent Burns (24:39) Skjei (22:41)
Brock Nelson led Isles forwards with 17:32 of ice-time. 

Isles record by ice-time leaders: Noah Dobson (0-1), Scott Mayfield (0-1), Adam Pelech (1-0), Ryan Pulock (0-1)

Isles 32, Carolina 28 (53%)
Bo Horvat won 14 of 22 for the Isles; Sebastian Aho won 7 of 12 for Carolina. 

Face-offs by Game
Game 1: Isles 35, Carolina 37 (48%)
Game 2: Isles 30, Carolina 26 (54%) 
Game 3: Isles 31, Carolina 32 (49%)
Game 4: Isles 32, Carolina 28 (53%)
Series  : Isles 128, Carolina 123 (51%)

Hit Count
Isles 32 (Cal Clutterbuck -5)
Carolina 42 (Four with 5)

Hits by Game
Game 1: Isles 44, Carolina 39
Game 2: Isles 54. Carolina 28
Game 3: Isles 43, Carolina 28
Game 4: Isles 32, Carolina 42
Series   : Isles 173, Carolina 137

None. Playoff total: 0

Blocked Shots
Isles 20 (Scott Mayfield -5)
Carolina 21 (Two with 3)

For the Analytics Crowd 
Corsi: All situations: Isles 57, Carolina 57
Corsi: 5-on-5: Isles 46, Carolina 52

Corsi Game by Game:
Game 1: (All) Isles 57, Carolina 73; (5-on-5) Isles 42, Carolina 62
Game 2: (All) Isles 58, Carolina 73; (5-on-5) Isles 55, Carolina 53
Game 3; (All) Isles 66, Carolina 55; (5-on-5) Isles 46, Carolina 45
Game 4: (All) Isles 57, Carolina 57; (5-on-5) Isles 46, Carolina 52
Series: (All) Isles 238, Carolina 258; (5-on-5) Isles 189, Carolina 212

5-on-5 leaders:
Isles:  Noah Dobson +10
Carolina: Sebastian Aho +8

Oliver Wahlstrom-IR), Samuel Bolduc, Parker Wotherspoon, Ross Johnston, Simon Holmstrom, Jakub Skarek
Playoff Games Lost: 6

The Ironman (Playoffs)
Matt Martin played in his 77th consecutive Islander playoff game; he has played in every Islander playoff game since 2013.

Isles: 0 successful, 0 failures  

Opponents: 0 successful, 0 failures

League reviews: 0  

The Isles have scored two goals in under a minute twice during this postseason.   They did so seven times in the regular season. 
:44 – Game 3 vs. CAR  (Kyle Palmieri and Matt Martin)
:16 – Game 3 vs. CAR (Scott Mayfield (EN) and Anders Lee)

Multi-Goal 3rd Period Comeback Wins
There has not been a multi-goal third period comeback in this year's playoffs.
The Isles came from two goals behind after two periods to win four times and allowed the opposition to do so once in the regular season.
Last Minute Heroes:
There has not been a tying or winning goal in the final three minutes of the third period in the playoffs,
In the regular season, the Isles scored four goals and allowed one goal in the final three minutes of the third period that were either the winning goal or forced overtime. 

Overtime Winners
Playoffs:  For 0, Vs. 1.   (Jesper Fast R1G2 vs CAR 5:03)
Regular Season: For 5, Vs. 4

Active Islander Playoff Leaders: (As NYI)
Matt Martin 77
Casey Cizikas 73
Josh Bailey 71
Brock Nelson 71
Cal Clutterbuck 69
Ryan Pulock 59
Scott Mayfield 55

Consecutive Games:
Matt Martin 77 (every game since start of 2013 playoffs)
Brock Nelson 66
Ryan Pulock 55
Mathew Barzal 53
Scott Mayfield 53

Brock Nelson 24
Josh Bailey 16
Mathew Barzal 14
Jean-Gabriel Pageau 11
Cal Clutterbuck 10
Anders Lee 9
Kyle Palmieri 9
Ryan Pulock 8
Matt Martin 8
Casey Cizikas 6

Josh Bailey 34
Mathew Barzal 25
Brock Nelson 20
Ryan Pulock 15
Jean-Gabriel Pageau 14
Scott Mayfield 12
Adam Pelech 11
Casey Cizikas 11
Noah Dobson 9

Josh Bailey 50
Brock Nelson 44
Mathew Barzal 39
Jean-Gabriel Pageau 25
Ryan Pulock 23
Cal Clutterbuck 17
Anders Lee 17
Casey Cizikas 17

Penalty Minutes:
Matt Martin 125
Cal Clutterbuck 82
Casey Cizikas 60
Scott Mayfield 47
Anders Lee 40
Mathew Barzal 39

Scott Mayfield +22
Jean-Gabriel Pageau +18
Adam Pelech +9
Kyle Palmieri +8
Cal Clutterbuck +5

PP Goals
Mathew Barzal 4
Ryan Pulock 3
Josh Bailey 3
Anders Lee 3
Brock Nelson 3 
Kyle Palmieri 2
Oliver Wahlstrom 1

SH Goals
Josh Bailey 1
Bo Horvat 1
GW Goals
Brock Nelson 7
Ryan Pulock 3
Josh Bailey 3
Kyle Palmieri 2
Mathew Barzal 2
Scott Mayfield 1
Casey Cizikas 1
Matt Martin 1

OT Goals 
Josh Bailey 2
Mathew Barzal 1
Kyle Palmieri 1
Casey Cizikas 1

Ilya Sorokin 5-4 2.86 GAA, .920 save percentage.
Semyon Varlamov 18-14  2.30 GAA, .922 save percentage.

(Varlamov's 18 wins is second in club history to Billy Smith's 88. Among goalies who have played at least ten post-season games, Varlamov has the best goals against average and the best save percentage in club history.)

Series Stats
Carolina leads the series, 3 games to 1. 

The Isles are 1-7 all-time in playoff games against Carolina, including 1-3 at home.

The Isles are 2-13 in best-of-7 playoff series when they trail a series 3-1, with the wins coming in 1975 vs. Pittsburgh and 1987 vs. Washington.

[MSGSN (Pre-game at 6:30), ESPN2, WRHU 88.7 FM, WRCN 103.9FM, ESPN Radio]
The Isles will look to even the series as they host the Canes in Game 4.

The Isles are 6-9 in game 5's when facing elimination, with all six wins coming on the road, including the Jordan Eberle double OT game in the Bubble against Tampa Bay on September 15, 2020. 

Brendan Burke, Butch Goring and Thomas Hickey will have the Isles broadcast on MSGSN.  The game will also air nationally on ESPN2.

Eric Hornick has been the statistician on Islander home game telecasts since 1982. Information contained in "The Skinny" has been gathered from various sources. Follow Eric @ehornick on Twitter & on his blog www.nyiskinny.com

Forever1940 is the nom de plume of Eric Hornick, statistician on Islander home telecasts since January 21, 1982. Visit my blog: NYISkinny.com and follow me on Twitter @ehornick

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