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The Skinny on the Playoff Race

Updating for all of Saturday's results: Saturday's Games Rangers 3, Isles 2 (SO) Philadelphia 1, New Jersey 0 Washington 4, Tampa Ba...

Friday, April 22, 2022

The Skinny: Rangers 6, Isles 3

"The Skinny"      

By Eric Hornick

Game 77
Rangers 6, Isles 3
Andrew Copp became only the third player in Ranger history with a first period hat trick and Artemi Panarin added four assists as the Rangers earned a split of the season series with a 6-3 win over the Islanders before a sellout crowd of 17,255 at UBS Arena.

Brock Nelson scored twice, and Josh Bailey added a goal for the Isles but they could not get closer than two goals in the final forty minutes.  

The Isles are 1-3-1 in their last five games.

The Scoring:
1st Period
Andrew Copp (19) Artemi Panarin (71), Jacob Trouba (28) 03:43 NYR 1,NYI 0
Andrew Copp (20) Artemi Panarin (72), Adam Fox (59) 07:48 NYR 2,NYI 0
Andrew Copp (21) Ryan Strome (32), Artemi Panarin (73) 18:13 NYR 3,NYI 0

2nd Period
Brock Nelson (35) Josh Bailey (27) 00:37 NYR 3,NYI 1
Chris Kreider (51) Adam Fox (60), Mika Zibanejad (51) 17:15 NYR 4,NYI 1 PPG
Ryan Strome (20) Artemi Panarin (74), Adam Fox (61) 19:07 NYR 5,NYI 1

3rd Period 
Brock Nelson (36) Mathew Barzal (39), Noah Dobson (33) 02:06 NYR 5,NYI 2 PPG
Ryan Reaves (4) Alexis Lafrenière (11), Barclay Goodrow (18) 12:53 NYR 6,NYI 2
Josh Bailey (12) Noah Dobson (34), Zdeno Chara (11) 13:22 NYR 6,NYI 3

The Skinny            
The Isles are 14-8-2 in their last 24 games … Noah Dobson leads the Isles with 17 power play assists and 19 power play points…Dobson now has 45 points; no Islander defenseman has had 50 points since 2008-09 when Mark Streit had 56…The Rangers saw their shutout streak stopped at 200:43 with Nelson's first goal…Artemi Panarin had four assists to set a Ranger record for assists in a season by a Ranger forward (74); Panarin is the first Ranger with four helpers against the Isles since Jaromir Jagr (3-29-2006 at the Coliseum)…Adam Fox celebrated his 200th NHL game with three assists…Both Andrew Copp and Ryan Strome reached 20 goals for the first time in their careers; Copp also recorded his 200th point.

Battling the Big Boys
The Isles have faced three consecutive opponents who already had at least 100 points – it's only the third time that has ever happened; the Isles hosted opponents who already had at least 100 points in consecutive games for the first time in club history.  If Washington reaches 100 points before facing the Isles on April 28th the Isles will play their final five games against opponents with at least 100 points (which would be only the second time in NHL history that has happened – Montreal did this in 1971-72).

Isles Team Leaders
Goals:  Nelson 36, Lee 26, Pageau 16
Assists: Barzal 39, Dobson 33, Bailey 27
Points:  Nelson 58, Barzal 53, Dobson 45

Nelson will lead the Isles in goals for the third straight season, after Lee did so in the prior three seasons.
Barzal is looking to lead the team in assists for the fourth time in five seasons (Nick Leddy did so last year)
Nelson is looking to end Barzal's 4-year run as the club point leader; Mike Bossy is the only Islander to lead the team in scoring in at least five straight seasons.

Home is Where The Sorokin Is
Ilya Sorokin is 13-4-4 at UBS Arena, with a 2.01 GAA and a .933 save percentage. 

Since February 1st, he has been even better, going 7-1-2 in ten home starts (1.93 GAA, .942 save percentage) .

Great in the Nets
Ilya Sorokin is 8-4-1 in his last thirteen games with a 2.06 GAA and a .941 save percentage.
Semyon Varlamov is 6-4-1 in his last eleven decisions.  

PK is More Than Okay
The Isles allowed a goal on their only time short; they have still killed 35 of 39 (89.7%) over their last thirteen games and 74 of 84 in the last 27 games (88.1%).  At home they are even better, having killed 41 of 46 (89.1%) since the beginning of February.

And How About That Home PP?
Since the beginning of February, the Isles home PP has converted at a 32.9% rate (14-41).  Only Florida (19-50, 38.0%) has had a better home power play in that stretch.

Zach Attack
Zach Parise has 408 career goals, tying him for 95th place all-time with Patrik Elias and Ray Ferraro and, passing Marian Gaborik.  Ray Bourque has 410 goals and sits 94th.

All-Star Break Splits
The Islander offense has improved significantly since the All-Star break. The Isles scored 92 goals in 39 games before the break (2.4/gm) and have scored 119 in 38 games since the break (3.1gm).  

Before: 80-106-186 in 39 games (4.8/gm)
After:    104-125-229 in 38 games  (6.0/gm)

Before: 12-47-59 in 39 games (1.5/gm)
After:    15-72-87 in 38 games (2.3/gm)

Most Career Goals by an Islander Wearing #27
1. Derek King 211
2. Anders Lee 210 
3. John Tonelli 206

Most Shutouts In a Season
7 Ilya Sorokin 2021-22
7 Semyon Varlamov 2020-21 (56-game season)
7 Chico Resch 1975-76
6 Robin Lehner 2018-19
6 Jaroslav Halak 2014-15

Home and Road
The Isles are 35-32-10 overall; they are 19-14-5 at home and 16-18-5 on the road.
The Rangers are 51-21-6 overall; they are 26-8-4 at home and 25-13-2 on the road.

Home is Where the Fans Are
The Isles have played 38 home games and recorded 29 sellouts. The sellout crowds of 17,255 are the largest indoor crowds to ever see the Islanders play at home. 

Leader of the Pack
Barry Trotz has coached more games and recorded more victories than any other active coach. Trotz' NHL record is 912-668-60-167 in 1,807 games.

Most Coaching Wins
1. Scotty Bowman  1,244
2. Joel Quenneville  970
3. Barry Trotz    912

Most Games Coached
1. Scotty Bowman  2,141
2. Barry Trotz        1,807
3. Joel Quenneville 1,768

Sweet Lou
Lou Lamoriello has the second-highest win total for any general manager in NHL history:
1. David Poile 1,490 
2. Lou Lamoriello 1,361
3. Glen Sather 1,319

It All Starts at the Top
Lou Lamoriello and Barry Trotz have 2,273 wins between them. They start each game with more than any other pair in NHL history (David Poile and Peter Laviolette had 2,036 after their last game together). Bill Torrey and Al Arbour had a then-record 1,462 at the end of the 1991-92 season, which was their last season together. 

First Things First
The Isles are 28-9-6 when scoring first and are 7-23-4 when allowing the opening goal. 

The Shots
Isles    6-10-11=27
Rangers 9-9-5-=23
The Isles are 12-8-4 when they outshoot their opponents, 1-2-1 when the shots are even and 22-22-5 when they are outshot. Under Barry Trotz, the Isles are 88-58-18 when outshot.

In the Nets
Semyon Varlamov made 17 saves; he is 9-16-2 on the season and 12-8-2 vs  Rangers.

Alexandar Georgiev made 24 saves; he is 14-9-2 on the season and 8-3-0 vs. the Isles.   

Special Teams
The Isles were 1-1 on the power play (0:21);  the Rangers were also 1-1 on the power play (also in 0:21).

The Isles are 18-10-6 when they score at least one power play goal and 17-22-4 when they do not. The Isles are 7-14-5 when they allow at least one power play goal and 28-18-5 when they do not.

Three is (Usually) a Magic Number
The Isles are 30-10-4 when they score at least three goals (including shootout winners) and are 5-22-6 when they do not. Under Barry Trotz, the Isles are 117-19-15 when scoring three or more.

One-Goal Games
The Isles are 11-9-10 in games decided by a single goal including 8-9 in regulation. They are 1-4 in games decided in overtime and are 2-6 in shootouts. The Isles are 1-7 in games in which an empty-net goal turns a 1-goal game into a 2-goal game (including one game the Isles scored after allowing an empty-netter).

The Isles are 9-6-1 in the front end and 6-9-1 in the back end. The next back-to-back will be April 23rd in Buffalo and April 24th at home vs. Carolina.
Under Barry Trotz, the Isles are 27-13-5 in back-ends. 

Matinee Isles
The Isles are 4-4-3 in matinees this season; the final matinees will be on April 23rd in Buffalo and April 24th at home vs. Carolina.

Ice-time Leaders
Isles: Noah Dobson (24:55);  Rangers: K'Andre Miller (22:51)
Josh Bailey led Isles forwards with 16:48 of ice-time. 

Isles record by ice-time leaders: Adam Pelech (12-5-4), Noah Dobson (9-12-3), Ryan Pulock (7-5-2), Anthony Beauvillier (0-1-0), Mathew Barzal (0-0-1), Zdeno Chara (2-1-0), Sebastian Aho (0-1-0), Robin Salo (0-2-0), Scott Mayfield (0-3-0), Jean-Gabriel Pageau (0-2-0).

Isles 22, Rangers 18 (55%)
Otto Koivula won 6 of 9 for the Isles; Mike Zibanejad won 8 of 14 for the Rangers.

Hit Count
Isles 26 (Kieffer Bellows and Ross Johnston -4)
Rangers 27 (Ryan Reaves-8)
There were no fights. Season total: 22 (Martin 6, Chara 5,  Johnston 4, Pageau 2, Mayfield 2, Wahlstrom 2, Bellows 1, Nelson 1, Palmieri 1)
Blocked Shots
Isles 13 (Four with 2)
Rangers 10 (Two with 2)

For the Analytics Crowd 
Corsi: All situations: Isles 50, Rangers 42
Corsi: 5-on-5: Isles 47, Rangers 37

5-on-5 leaders:
Isles: Noah Dobson and Zdeno Chara +11
Rangers: Jacob Trouba +2

High Danger Scoring Chances (per Natural Stat Trick)
All situations: Isles 8, Rangers 11
5-on-5: Isles 6, Rangers 10

(Cal Clutterbuck-INJ), (Scott Mayfield-INJ), Oliver Wahlstrom, Grant Hutton, (Anthony Beauvillier-INJ), (Jean-Gabriel Pageau-COVID Protocol)
Games Lost: 174 (124 to injuries and 50 to COVID protocol)
Zach Parise is the only Islander to have played in every game this season.

Isles: 3 successful, 2 failures
Isles are 2-0-1 in games that they are successful (offside 1/18 @PHI, no goalie interference 2/22 @SEA, offside 3/15 @ WSH) and 0-2-0 in games that they are unsuccessful (no goalie interference 10/14 @CAR, no goalie interference 4/5 @DAL)

Opponents: 5 successful, 1 failure
The Isles are 2-2-1 in games where opponents' challenges go their way (goalie interference 10/16 @FLA and 10/23 @ARI; offside 12/19 vs VGK, goalie interference 3/5 vs STL, goalie interference 3/27 vs TB) and 0-0-1 in games where challenges go the Isles' way (goalie interference 3/15 vs WSH)

Last Minute Heroes:
The Isles have scored five goals and allowed two goals in the final three minutes of the third period that were either the winning goal or forced overtime:
For: 5  (Noah Dobson 19:56 – 12/5/21 vs CHI; Isles lost in SO) (Brock Nelson 17:03 – 2/20/22 vs OTT; Isles lost in SO), (Anders Lee 18:01 – 3/15/22 @ WSH; Isles lost in SO), (Kyle Palmieri 17:16 – 3/17/22 vs. NYR -GWG), (Kyle Palmieri 19:45 – 4/8/22 @ CAR – GWG)

Vs:  2 (Eeli Tolvanen 19:48 – 12/9/21 vs NSH-GWG), (Shea Theodore 19:12 – 12/19/21 vs VGK; Isles lost in SO)
The Isles allowed a tying goal to CAR on 4/8/22 but scored the winner in the final seconds.

All-time Islander Leader Boards:
Games Played (skaters)
1. Bryan Trottier 1,123 *** 2. Denis Potvin 1,060 *** 3. Josh Bailey 988…
9. Brent Sutter 694 *** 10. Matt Martin 680 *** 11. Brock Nelson 672 *** 12. John Tavares 669 *** 13. Casey Cizikas 658 … 
18. Kenny Jonsson 597 *** 19. Garry Howatt 596 *** 20. John Tonelli 594 *** 21. Anders Lee 591 *** 22. Cal Clutterbuck 587

1. Mike Bossy 573 *** 2. Bryan Trottier 500 *** 3. Denis Potvin 310 …
9. Bobby Nystrom 235 *** 10. Derek King 211 *** 11. Anders Lee 210 *** 12. John Tonelli 206 *** 13. Brock Nelson 204 *** 14 Billy Harris 184 *** 15. Josh Bailey 174

1. Bryan Trottier 853 *** 2. Denis Potvin 742 *** 3. Mike Bossy 553 *** 4. Josh Bailey 376…
17. Frans Nielsen and Kyle Okposo 230 *** 19. Mathew Barzal 215 *** 20. Nick Leddy 198 *** 21. Pierre Turgeon 193 *** 22. Brock Nelson 182

1. Bryan Trottier 1,353 *** 2. Mike Bossy 1,126 *** 3. Denis Potvin 1,052…
7. Pat LaFontaine 566 *** 8. Josh Bailey 550 *** 9. John Tonelli 544 *** 10. Bob Bourne 542 …
14. Billy Harris 443 *** 15. Brock Nelson 386 ***  16. Kyle Okposo and Stefan Persson 369 *** 18.  Anders Lee 363…
22. Ziggy Palffy 331 *** 23. Mathew Barzal 305

1. Bryan Trottier +467 *** 2. Denis Potvin +456 *** 3. Mike Bossy +380…
19. JP Parise +67 *** 20. Adam Pelech +61 *** 21. Jude Drouin +58 *** 22. Patrick Flatley +57 *** 23. Greg Gilbert +54 *** 24. Gord Lane +48  

Games Coached 
1. Al Arbour 1,500 *** 2. Jack Capuano 483 *** 3. Barry Trotz 283
Coaching Wins
1. Al Arbour 740 *** 2. Jack Capuano 227 *** 3. Barry Trotz 150

On the Farm
Bridgeport is 9-4-2-0 in their last fifteen games and 30-29-7-4 on the season heading into the final weekend of the regular season.  

Chris Terry continues to lead the team with 29 goals and 57 points while Otto Koivula has a team-leading 35 helpers. Jakub Skurek is 16-14-4 in goal on the season while Cory Schneider, 9-2-2 in his last thirteen games, is 13-11-3.

Bridgeport is .014 ahead of Hartford for the final playoff spot.  (AHL teams play different number of games, so percentage will determine the final standings).  Bridgeport has two regular season games to play (Friday vs. Springfield and Saturday vs. Hartford) while the Wolf Pack have three.  

The Baby Isles could clinch a playoff spot on Friday if they beat Springfield, Hartford loses at home to Charlotte in regulation time and Lehigh Valley doesn't beat Hershey.

Season Series Stats
The teams split the season series, 2 games to 2 (and 4 points to 4).

The road team won all four games in the season series; the Isles have won 8 of 12 from the Rangers over the last two seasons but are only 3-3-0 at home.

[MSG+ (Pre-game at 12:00pm), WRHU 88.7 FM, WRCN 103.9FM, ESPN Radio]
The only non-playoff team the Isles will face in their final eight games is the Buffalo Sabres and that meeting will be in Western New York on Saturday afternoon in the front end of a back-to-back. 

The teams have split a pair of games this season with the home team winning both games.  The Isles are winless in their last three games in Buffalo, matching their longest winless stretch there since going 0-4-1-1 in six trips between 1999 and 2001.

Eric Hornick has been the statistician on Islander home game telecasts since January 21, 1982. Information contained in "The Skinny" has been gathered from various sources. Follow Eric @ehornick on Twitter & on his blog www.nyiskinny.com

Forever1940 is the nom de plume of Eric Hornick, statistician on Islander home telecasts since January 21, 1982. Visit my blog: NYISkinny.com and follow me on Twitter @ehornick

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