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Tuesday, November 14, 2023

The Skinny: Edmonton 4, Isles 1

"The Skinny"

By Eric Hornick

Game 14
Edmonton 4, Isles 1
Leon Draisaitl scored a first period goal and assisted on all three Oiler goals in the third period as Edmonton rallied from an early 1-0 deficit for a 4-1 victory over the Isles before a crowd of 17,881 at Rogers Place.   

Mathew Barzal scored 0:40 into play but that was the only time the Isles coach beat Stuart Skinner, who entered the game with an .861 save percentage. The Oilers scored a pair of power play goals 1:58 apart and a shorthanded empty net goal to seal the victory in Kris Kroblaugh's first game behind an NHL bench and hand the Isles their fourth straight regulation loss (0-4-1 in last 5).

The Isles fall below NHL -.500 for the first time since October 26, 2022,  and are now 5-6-3 on the season; the road trip continues with a nationally-televised game on Wednesday in Vancouver.

The Scoring:
1st Period
Mathew Barzal (3) Bo Horvat (7), Ryan Pulock (3) 00:40 NYI 1,EDM 0
Leon Draisaitl (6) Darnell Nurse (2) 14:17 NYI 1,EDM 1

2nd Period
No Goals

3rd Period
Zach Hyman (8) Connor McDavid (9), Leon Draisaitl (11) 07:35 NYI 1,EDM 2 PPG
Connor McDavid (3) Leon Draisaitl (12) 09:33 NYI 1,EDM 3 PPG
Evander Kane (4)EN Leon Draisaitl (13) 17:33 NYI 1,EDM 4 SHG

The Skinny    
The Isles have outscored their opponents 14-7 in the first period; they have scored twice in the opening minute of the game…The Isles have now been outscored 14-3 in the third period over the last seven games and have been outscored 23-9 in the third period and overtime this season…The Isles are -11 in the third period; only San Jose (-20) and Seattle (-12, pending their late game Monday) have a lower differential….The Isles have led at some point of 11 of their first 14 games, but recorded only five wins…Bo Horvat has eight points in his last eight games; he is second on the team in scoring…. Brock Nelson matched a career-high with 10 shots on goal; he is only the third player in club history with multiple games of at least ten shots (Mike Bossy 9x, Denis Potvin 3x)…Cal Clutterbuck had six shots on goal in his 996th NHL game…It was the first time that the Isles lost a game in regulation that they scored first…Evander Kane scored his 18th career shorthanded goal into an empty net; it was the first SHG for Edmonton this season and the first allowed by the Isles…The Isles allowed only 13 shots through two periods (fewest since their win vs. Arizona on October 17th) but allowed 19 shots in the third period…Matt Martin missed his first game since November 1, 2022 (paternity leave); it was the first time he was a healthy and available scratch since  March 1, 2022 in Denver. It was the 24th time Leon Draisaitl has recorded at least four points in a game.

First Time in a Long Time 
The Isles have scored twice in the first :40 of a game this season; both times on the road.  It is the first time that they have scored twice  in the first :40 of a road game since the 1984-85 season when John Tonelli did it in Edmonton and Duane Sutter did so in Chicago.

Milestone Man
Ken Holland recorded his 1,100th victory as an NHL general manager.

Shoot the Puck!
The Isles have been getting more rubber on goal during power plays than they did last season:
2023-24  Isles have 58 shots in 59:30 of PP   (.98 shots per minute)
2022-23  Isles had 336 shots in 379:43 of PP (0.88 shots per minute)
That's an 11% increase in shots per minute spent on the power play.

Killing Their Own PP
The Isles have taken a penalty to interrupt their power play eight times this season.

Heavy Hitters
Cal Clutterbuck and Matt Martin are now 1-2 all-time in hits:
1. Cal Clutterbuck 3,791
2. Matt Martin 3,730

Martin (7) and Clutterbuck (3) have combined for the 10-biggest hits seasons in Isles history in the Real-Time era, which began in 2005-06. 

Last Year vs. This Year
2023-24  5-6-3 for 13 points in 14 games
2022-23  9-5-0 for 18 points in 14 games

Offense from Defense
Today:  0-1-1
Season: 6-15-21
Last Season (Final) 41-132-173

The Islander defense scored 41 goals last season, which was the most since they scored 42 in 2003-04.  The 173 points were their most since 1993-94, when they had 174 points in an 84-game season.

Best of the Best
Ilya Sorokin has 17 shutouts in 139 career starts. He has recorded a shutout in 12.2% of his starts, which is the highest in NHL history (since 1943-44) among goalies with at least 100 starts:
Ilya Sorokin 12.23%
Roman Cechmanek 12.20%
Ken Dryden 11.8%
Dominik Hasek 11.3%

Varly, Varly
Semyon Varlamov has 40 career shutouts and 274 career wins.  Among active NHL goalies (and excluding Carey Price, who is technically still active), Varlamov is 6th in wins (274) and third in shutouts (40).

Overtime Is (Not) Our Time
The Isles are 0-3 so far this season in overtime, allowing three goals on five shots; the three overtimes have taken only 4:58 to play.

Ilya Sorokin is 13-21 in his career in games that have gone beyond sixty minutes; he is 8-12 in games decided in overtime and 5-9 in games decided by a shootout.

The Isles have lost 20 of the last 31 games that were decided by an overtime goal (since January 11, 2020).

Home and Road
The Isles are 5-6-3 overall; they are 3-3-3 at home and 2-3-0 on the road.
Edmonton is 4-9-1 overall; they are 2-4-1 at home and 2-5-0 on the road.

East and West
The Isles are 4-3-3 against the East (2-1-2 vs. Metropolitan and 2-2-1 vs. Atlantic) and 1-3-0 against the West (1-2-0 vs. Central and 0-1-0 vs. Pacific).

Home is Where the Fans Are
The Isles have played 91 games at UBS Arena and recorded 63 sellouts of 17,255. 

Sweet Lou
Lou Lamoriello has the second-highest win total for any general manager in NHL history:
1. David Poile 1,531
2. Lou Lamoriello 1,410
3. Glen Sather 1,319

First Things First
The Isles are 5-1-3 when scoring first and are 0-5-0 when allowing the opening goal.

The Shots
Isles           11-9-13=33
Edmonton 7-6-19=32
The Isles are 1-2-1 when they outshoot their opponents, 1-0-0 when the shots are even and 3-4-2 when they are out-shot.

In the Nets
Ilya Sorokin made 28 saves; he is 3-3-3 on the season and 2-3-0 vs. Edmonton.   
Stuart Skinner made 32 saves; he is 3-5-1 on the season and 1-0-0 vs. the Isles.  

Special Teams
The Isles were 0-3 on the power play (4:03); Edmonton was 2-3 on the power play (1:09). 

The Isles are 2-3-1 when they score at least one power play goal and 3-3-2 when they do not. The Isles are 2-3-2 when they allow at least one power play goal and 4-2-1 when they do not.

Three is a Magic Number
The Isles are 3-1-3 when they score at least three goals (including shootout winners) and are 2-5-0 when they do not.  Under Lane Lambert the Isles are 38-7-7 when scoring at least three goals.

One-Goal Games
The Isles are 3-0-3 in games decided by a single goal including 3-0 in regulation. They are 0-3 in games decided in overtime and are 0-0 in shootouts. The Isles are 0-1 in games in which an empty-net goal turns a 1-goal game into a 2-goal game.

Back-to-Backs     
The Isles are 0-0-1 in the front end and 0-1-0 in the back end this season.  The next set of back-to-backs will be on November 15 in Vancouver and November 16 in Seattle.  

Ice-time Leaders
Isles: Alexander Romanov (23:07);  Edmonton: Cody Ceci (21:58)
Mathew Barzal led Isles forwards with 18:34 of ice-time. 

Isles record by ice-time leaders: Ryan Pulock (2-0-2), Noah Dobson (3-4-1), Alex Romanov (0-2-0)

Face-offs
Isles 35, Edmonton 42 (45%)
Bo Horvat won 13 of 26 for the Isles; Connor McDavid won 13 of 19 for Edmonton. 

Hit Count
Isles 25 (Cal Clutterbuck -6)
Edmonton 29 (Evander Kane -6)

Fights 
None. Season total: 2 (Martin 1, Pelech 1)
 
Blocked Shots
Isles 21 (Noah Dobson -4)
Edmonton 12 (Two with 2)

For the Analytics Crowd 
Corsi: All situations: Isles 59, Edmonton 64
Corsi: 5-on-5: Isles 42, Edmonton 56
 
5-on-5 leaders:
Isles:  Kyle Palmieri and Brock Nelson +4
Edmonton: Two with +10

High Danger Scoring Chances (per Natural Stat Trick)
All situations: Isles 9, Edmonton 9
5-on-5: Isles 7, Edmonton 5

Scratches
Hudson Fasching, Matt Martin, Samuel Bolduc
Games Lost: 11

The Ironmen
Anders Lee played in his 126th consecutive Islander game; it Is the longest active streak on the team.  (Ryan Pulock and Brock Nelson are the other current Islanders to appear in every game last season and this season.)

Challenges
Isles:1 successful, 0 failures – WSH goalie interference (11/2)

Opponents: 0 successful, 1 failures – BUF no offside  (10/21) 

Quickies
The Isles have scored two goals in under a minute no times this season (no times at home and none on road) and allowed two in the same span three times (COL 10/25 x2, MIN 11/8)

Multi-Goal 3rd Period Comeback Wins
The Isles have come from two goals behind after two periods to win no times this season and have allowed the opposition to do so once.
For (0):  
Vs (2): DET 10/30 (trailed 0-2, won 4-3 in OT); CAR 11/4 (trailed 1-3, won 4-3 in OT) 

Last Minute Heroes:
The Isles have scored one goal and have allowed no goals in the final three minutes of the third period to tie or go-ahead:
For (1): Bo Horvat 10/20 vs NJ 18:49 (Isles lost in OT)

OT Winners
For (0):  
Vs (3):   Jack Hughes (NJ) 10/20, Lucas Raymond (DET) 10/30, Sebastian Aho (CAR) 11/4

Shootout Winners
For (0):  
Vs (0):   

All-time Islander Leader Boards:
Games Played (skaters)
1. Bryan Trottier 1,123 *** 2. Denis Potvin 1,060 *** 3. Josh Bailey 1,057…
6. Bob Bourne 814 *** 7. Matt Martin 779 *** 8.Brock Nelson 772 *** 9.  Casey Cizikas 759…
12. Brent Sutter 694 *** 13. Anders Lee 692 *** 14. John Tavares 669 *** 15. Cal Clutterbuck 650

Goals    
1. Mike Bossy 573 *** 2. Bryan Trottier 500 *** 3. Denis Potvin 310 …
7. John Tavares 272 *** 8. Brock Nelson 247 *** 9. Anders Lee 241 …
28. Ray Ferraro 116 *** 29 Mathew Barzal 108

Assists
1. Bryan Trottier 853 *** 2. Denis Potvin 742 *** 3. Mike Bossy 553 …
13. Pat LaFontaine 279 *** 14. Bob Nystrom 278 *** 15. Mathew Barzal 264…
18. Frans Nielsen and Kyle Okposo 230 *** 20. Brock Nelson 223…
23. Ed Westfall 181 *** 24. Anders Lee 177

Points
1. Bryan Trottier 1,353 *** 2. Mike Bossy 1,126 *** 3. Denis Potvin 1,052…
13. Patrick Flatley 488 *** 14. Brock Nelson 470 *** 15. Billy Harris 443 ***  16. Anders Lee 418 *** 17. Mathew Barzal 372

+/-
1. Bryan Trottier +467 *** 2. Denis Potvin +456 *** 3. Mike Bossy +380…
15. Bob Lorimer +105 *** 16. Adam Pelech +80 ***  17. Tomas Jonsson +76 *** 18. Garry Howatt +75 *** 19. Pat Price +70 *** 20. JP Parise +67 *** 21. Jude Drouin +58 *** 22. Patrick Flatley +57 *** 23. Greg Gilbert +54  

Defense Goals
1. Denis Potvin 310 *** 2. Tomas Jonsson 84 *** Kenny Jonsson 57…
6. Nick Leddy 45 *** 7. Ryan Pulock 44 *** 8. Roman Hamrlik 43 *** 9. Mark Streit 40 *** 10. Johnny Boychuk 35 *** 11. Noah Dobson 34

Defense Assists
1. Denis Potvin 742 *** 2. Stefan Persson 317 *** 3. Tomas Jonsson 249…
8. Mark Streit 139 *** 9. Ryan Pulock 132…
15. Bryan Berard and Adam Pelech 100 *** 17. Noah Dobson 99… 
21. Ken Morrow 88 *** 23. Bert Marshall 87 ***24. Scott Mayfield 86

Defense Points
1. Denis Potvin 1,052 *** 2. Stefan Persson 369 *** 3. Tomas Jonsson 333…
8. Mark Streit 179 *** 9. Ryan Pulock 176…
13. Tom Kurvers 134 *** 14. Noah Dobson 133…* 
17. Gerry Hart 128 *** 18. Vladimir Malakhov and Adam Pelech 125 ***  20. Thomas Hickey 117 ***
 21. Adrian Aucoin 113 *** 22. Scott Mayfield 112

Goalie Games
1. Billy Smith 674 *** 2. Rick DiPietro 318 *** 3. Glenn Resch 282 …
8. *** Glenn Healy 176 *** 9. Ilya Sorokin 145 *** 10. Semyon Varlamov 140

Wins
1. Billy Smith 304 *** 2. Glenn Resch 157 *** 3. Rick DiPietro 130…
7. Roland Melanson 77 *** 8. Ilya Sorokin 73 *** 9. Glenn Healy 66 *** 10. Tommy Salo 62 *** 11. Semyon Varlamov 61

Shutouts
1. Glenn Resch 25 *** 2. Billy Smith 22 *** 3. Ilya Sorokin 17 *** 
4. Rick DiPietro 16 *** 5. Semyon Varlamov 15

On the Farm  
Bridgeport is 4-6-1-0 on the season heading into a School Day matinee game against Syracuse on Tuesday (10:30am). 

Season Series Stats
Edmonton leads the season series, 1 game to 0 (and 2 points to 0).  The teams will meet on December 19th at UBS Arena to complete the season series.

The Isles have won just once in Edmonton since 2003, going 1-8-3 there in their last 12 trips. 

UP NEXT
WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 15th  —ISLANDERS AT VANCOUVER– 10:00pm
[TNT, WRHU 88.7 FM, WRCN 103.9FM, ESPN Radio]
The Isles head to British Columbia as Bo Horvat returns to Vancouver for the first time since his late January trade. 

Vancouver has been a good stop for the Isles in recent years, as the Isles are 5-0-2 in their last seven trips there.   Overall, the Isles have points in 12 of their last 14 games against the Canucks.

The game will be televised nationally by TNT.  Brendan Burke, Darren Pang, and Jen Botterill will have the call.

AND FINALLY…
I was honored to be featured on the latest edition of Talkin Isles with Greg Picker and Cory Wright.  Find it here: https://talkin-isles.simplecast.com/episodes/eric-hornick

Eric Hornick has been the statistician on Islander home game telecasts since 1982. Information contained in "The Skinny" has been gathered from various sources. Follow Eric @ehornick on Twitter & on his blog www.nyiskinny.com



Forever1940 is the nom de plume of Eric Hornick, statistician on Islander home telecasts since January 21, 1982. Visit my blog: NYISkinny.com and follow me on Twitter @ehornick

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