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The Skinny Playoff Preview

"The Skinny" By Eric Hornick The Isles return to the Stanley Cup Playoffs on Saturday. Here is a preview- Skinny style. UP NEXT TH...

Monday, April 18, 2016

The Skinny: Isles 4, Florida 3 (OT); Isles lead series 2-1

"The Skinny"   

By Eric Hornick
Eastern Conference First Round Game 3
Isles 4, Florida 3 (OT) (Isles lead series 2-1)
The first playoff game at Barclays will be one that will be long remembered.  Thomas Hickey scored the game-winning goal 12:31 into overtime as the Isles rallied from 2-0 and 3-1 deficits to defeat the Florida Panthers 4-3 in the third game of their Eastern Conference First Round Playoff Series before a sellout crowd of 15,795 at Barclays Center.
Florida appeared to have taken a 3-0 lead just over 4 minutes into the second period but a Coach's Challenge showed that the Panthers were offside, reversing the goal.
Reilly Smith figured in the scoring on all three Panther goals; he now has eight points (4-4-8) on Florida's ten goals in the series.
Game 4 of the series is Wednesday night in Brooklyn.
The Scoring:
02:25    FLA      Reilly Smith (4) ASST: Alex Petrovic (2), Michael Matheson (1)   1 - 0 FLA           
01:11    FLA      Aleksander Barkov (1) ASST: Reilly Smith (3), Jonathan Huberdeau (2)   2 - 0 FLA     
05:21    NYI      PPG - Ryan Pulock (1) ASST: Kyle Okposo (3), John Tavares (3)            2 - 1 FLA     
07:23    FLA      Nick Bjugstad (2) ASST: Reilly Smith (4), Dmitry Kulikov (3)        3 - 1 FLA           
11:48    NYI      Shane Prince (1) ASST: Ryan Pulock (1), Calvin de Haan (1)      3 - 2 FLA           
16:55    NYI      PPG - Frans Nielsen (2) ASST: John Tavares (4), Kyle Okposo (4)          3 - 3 Tie      
12:31    NYI      Thomas Hickey (1) ASST: Brock Nelson (1), Josh Bailey (1)        4 - 3 NYI
The Series
Game 1: Isles 5, Florida 4
Game 2: Florida 3, Isles 1
Game 3: Isles 4, Florida 3 (OT)
Game 4 @ Isles Wednesday 8:00
Game 5 @ Florida Friday (time TBA)
Game 6 @ Isles (if necessary) April 24
Game 7 @ Florida (if necessary) April 26
The Skinny
The Isles are 14-14 all-time in game 3's played at home and 26-22 in game 3's overall…Each of the last three game 3's has been decided in overtime… The Isles held Jaromir Jagr without a point for the third straight game; Jagr has 16 assists, but no goals, in his last 33 playoff games…John Tavares had a pair of assists, giving him points in all three game of the series (2-4-6); Okposo also had a pair of assists, giving him assists in all three games (1-4-5)…The Isles lead a series 2-1 for the second straight season; they have won 7 out of 9 times that they have led a best-of-seven series 2-1…Ryan Pulock and Thomas Hickey are the first pair of Islander defensemen to score in the same playoff game since Mark Streit (2x) and Brian Strait did so on May 7 2013 vs Pittsburgh (Game 4)…The Isles scored 2 PP goals in a playoff game for 1st since 4-28-02 vs Toronto (Game 6) and scored twice in a playoff period for the first time since the 2nd period of game 3 (4-23-02) of the same series…In Stanley Cup history, the team that breaks a 1-1 tie by winning game 3 has won 2/3rds of all best-of-7 series (194 of 291)…Reilly Smith is the first Florida Panther to record eight points in a playoff year since ten Panthers did so in 1996. Smith is 4-4-8, and +7 in the series…The Isles' playoff power play was 2-34 in 2013 and 2015, but they are 3-9 this season…The Isles last erased a 2-0 deficit to win a playoff game in 2013 in Pittsburgh (Game 2); like tonight they trailed 2-0 and 3-1 but won 4-3)
Overtime is Our Time
The Isles are 31-14 all-time in overtime, including 16-7 at home.  This was the Isles' longest game since losing game 3 to Ottawa in 2003 (Todd White, 22:25).
Florida is 2-6 all-time in overtime.
Three Firsts
Ryan Pulock, Shane Prince and Thomas Hickey each recorded their first career playoff goal. Aleksander Barkov, who had 9 shots on goal, recorded his first playoff goal for Florida.

First Time in a Ridiculously Long Time
Thomas Hickey is the first Islander defenseman since Ken Morrow (4-10-1984 vs. the Rangers) to score a playoff overtime goal.
Playoff Overtime Goals by Islander Defensemen:
28-Apr-79         Vs        New York         SF        Game 2            4          3          W (Denis Potvin)
11-Apr-80         @         Los Angeles     PRE     Game 3             4          3          W (Ken Morrow)
13-May-80        @         Philadelphia      F          Game 1             4          3          W (Denis Potvin)
20-Apr-81         @         Edmonton         QF       Game 4             5          4          W (Ken Morrow)
10-Apr-84         Vs        New York         DSF     Game 5              3          2          W (Ken Morrow)
17-Apr-16         Vs        Florida              1st       Game 3            4          3          W (Thomas Hickey)

What a Youngster
Ryan Pulock (21 years, 194 days) is the youngest Islander defenseman to score a goal since Wayne McBean (21 years, 51 days) did so against the Rangers on April 13, 1990.
A First for Howie
Howie Rose has been the TV voice of the Islanders since 1995; this was the first Islander playoff OT goal he has ever called. "Centering feed…Hickey…he scores!!!! Thomas Hickey with the winner."
(Mike Emrick called John Tavares' overtime goal vs Washington for NBC last season)
Point Per Game Man
John Tavares now has 17 points in 16 career playoff games; he is the only Islander other than Mike Bossy (1.24 points per game) to play more than one playoff game for the Isles and average over one point per game.  (Bryan Trottier had 170 points in 175 games, falling just shy of 1.00.)

With 7 goals in those 16 games, only Bossy (.66), Ray Ferraro (.64) and Steve Thomas (.45) have averaged more goals per playoff game as an Islander than Tavares (.44) [Minimum 5 goals]

Playoffs All-time
The Isles improve to 141-115 in 256 all-time playoff games.  They are 81-41 at home (including 1-0 at Barclays) and 60-74 on the road. The Isles were 77-32 in home playoff games from 1975 to 2002, but won only three of their last 12 home games at Nassau Coliseum.

Home Sweet Home
The Isles went 25-11-5 on home-ice (55 points).  It's the first time since 1983-84 and 1984-85 that the Isles have earned at least 52 points at home in consecutive seasons.

Road Warriors
The Isles finished their road schedule with a record of 20-16-5. It's the 10th time in franchise history that the Isles have won 20 road games in a season. 
The Shots
Isles     8-16-7-8=39
Florida 12-12-7-8=39
Shots by Game
·        Game 1: Isles 26, Florida 46
·        Game 2: Isles 42, Florida 31
·        Game 3: Isles 39, Florida 39
·        Total:  Isles 107, Florida 116
By Division (Regular Season)
The Isles are 18-8-4 in Division games and are 27-19-6 in games against other divisions. They are 8-12-4 vs. the Atlantic Division, 9-4-1 vs. the Central Division, and 10-3-1 vs. the Pacific Division. 
How The West Was Won
The Isles went 19-7-2 against the Western Conference, including 12-0-2 at home. The Isles finished with the best record of any Eastern team vs. the West. 

In the Nets
Thomas Greiss made 36 saves to improve to 2-1 in the series. It was the first playoff overtime game of his career.
Roberto Luongo made 35 saves but falls to 33-33 in his playoff career, including 9-9 in overtime.

Power Plays
In the game, the Islanders were 2-4 on the power play (including a goal on a 5-on-3), while Florida was 0-3.
For the series, the Isles are 3-9 on the power play, while Florida is 1-7.

Power Plays by Game
·        Game 1: Isles 1-2, Florida 1-3
·        Game 2: Isles 0-3, Florida 0-1
·        Game 3: Isles 2-4, Florida 0-3
·        Total:  Isles 3-9, Florida 1-7
The Isles are 2-0 in the playoffs when they score at least one power play goal and 0-1 when they do not. The Isles are 1-1 when they allow at least one power play goal in the playoff and are 0-1 when they do not.
In the regular season, the Isles were 27-5-4 when they score at least one power play goal and 18-22-6 when they do not.  The Isles are 13-13-3 when they allow at least one power play goal and 32-14-7 when they do not. 

Three is a Magic Number
The Isles are 2-0 in the playoffs when scoring at least 3 goals and are 0-1 when they do not.
In the regular season, the Isles were 37-4-2 when they score at least three goals (including shootout winners) and are 8-23-8 when they did not. 

One Goal Games
The Isles are 2-0 in playoff games decided by a single goal. The Isles are 0-1 in games in which an empty-net goal turns a 1 goal game into a 2-goal game.
The Isles went 21-6-10 in regular season games decided by a single goal including 10-6-0 in regulation. They were 6-5 in games decided in overtime and are 5-5 in shootouts.  The Isles are 6-5 in games in which an empty-net goal turns a 1 goal game into a 2-goal game.

First Goal
The Isles are 0-0 in playoff games when they score first and are 2-1 when they allow the opening goal.
The Isles were 29-7-5 in the regular season when they scored first and were 16-20-5 when they allowed the opening goal.   

Coach Cappy
Jack Capuano is now 7-9 in playoff games behind the Islander bench.  Among the 9 New York area teams, only the Yankees' Joe Girardi has led his team longer than Capuano. 

Capuano is only the 2nd coach to lead three Islander teams to the playoffs, joining Al Arbour.

Most playoff wins by Islander coaches:
·        Al Arbour 123
·        Terry Simpson 9
·        Jack Capuano 7
·        Peter Laviolette 4
·        Ted Nolan 1
·        Steve Stirling 1

Most playoff games coached (Islanders):
·        Al Arbour 209
·        Terry Simpson 20
·        Jack Capuano 16
·        Peter Laviolette 12
·        Steve Stirling 5
·        Ted Nolan 5

Most playoff series wins:
·        Al Arbour 29
·        Terry Simpson 1

Most overtime wins/overtime record:
·        Al Arbour 26 (26-9)
·        Terry Simpson 3 (3-0)
·        Jack Capuano 2 (2-3)
·        Peter Laviolette 0 (0-1)
·        Steve Stirling 0 (0-1)

Ice-time Leaders
Isles: Travis Hamonic (29:35); Florida: Aleksander Barkov (26:44)
Isles record by ice-time leaders: Nick Leddy (1-1)
Frans Nielsen led the forwards with 25:42 of ice time. Isles record by Forward ice-time leaders: Frans Nielsen (1-0), John Tavares (1-0), Tie (0-1)

Isles 40, Florida 31 (57%)
Frans Nielsen won 6 of 9 for the Isles; Nick Bjugstad won 13 of 23 for Florida.
The Isles won 21 of 29 draws in the first period and overtime but only 19 of 42 in the second and third periods.
The Isles won 29 of 56 draws at even strength, 4 of 7 on the power play and 7 of 8 on the penalty kill.

Face-offs Game by Game:
·        Game 1: Isles 34, Florida 32
·        Game 2: Isles 27, Florida 36
·        Game 3: Isles 40, Florida 31
·        Series: Isles 101, Florida 99

Heavy Hitters
Isles 48, Florida 40.  Cal Clutterbuck, Matt Martin and Kyle Okposo led the Isles with six hits. (Okposo entered the game with only 18 hits in 15 previous playoff games; he had only had six hits twice in his regular season games.
There were only four hits in overtime (three for Florida).

Hits Game by Game:
·        Game 1: Isles 40, Florida 39
·        Game 2: Isles 32, Florida 22
·        Game 3: Isles 48, Florida 40
·        Series: Isles 120, Florida 101

 Most Hits in a Season (since 2005-06):
1          Matt Martin       2014-2015        NYI      382
2          Matt Martin       2011-2012        NYI      374
3          Matt Martin      2015-2016        NYI      365
4          Matt Martin       2013-2014        NYI      359
5          Cal Clutterbuck 2008-2009        MIN      356
6          Cal Clutterbuck 2014-2015        NYI      343
7          Cal Clutterbuck 2010-2011        MIN      336
8          Cal Clutterbuck 2009-2010        MIN      318
There were no fights in the game and there have been no fights in the series.
Regular season total – 23 (Martin-11, Lee-3, Bernier, Boychuk, Cizikas, Hamonic, Leddy, Mayfield, Okposo, Pulock, Strait). 

Blocked Shots
The Isles were credited with 17 blocked shots, including three by Johnny Boychuk.

Most Blocked Shots by an Islander (since 2005-2006)
1              Brendan Witt                    2006-2007    207
2              Sean Hill                          2006-2007    202
3              Calvin de Haan                2015-2016    198
3              Andrew Mac Donald          2013-2014    198
5              Andrew Mac Donald          2011-2012    185
For the Corsi Crowd
All situations:  Isles 66, Florida 73
5-on-5: Isles 54, Florida 65
The Corsi stat measures shots attempted, both for and against (including blocks). 
Ryan Strome and Shane Prince each had a +7 5-on-5 Corsi rating; Strome led the squad with a 63% Corsi For percentage. Nick Bjugstad and Jonathan Huberdeau led Florida with a +12 5-on-5 Corsi rating.

Corsi (All Situations) Game by Game:
·        Game 1: Isles 42, Florida 77
·        Game 2: Isles 61, Florida 45
·        Game 3: Isles 66, Florida 73
·        Series: Isles 169, Florida 195

Corsi (5-on-5) Game by Game:
·        Game 1: Isles 37, Florida 68
·        Game 2: Isles 51, Florida 39
·        Game 3: Isles 54, Florida 65
·        Series: Isles 142, Florida 172

Missing Men
Anders Lee
Brian Strait
Mikhail Grabovski
Christopher Gibson
Jaroslav Halak
Steve Bernier
Marek Zidlicky
On The Farm
The Sound Tigers are headed to the playoffs; however, losses to Albany (3-0) on Saturday and Providence (6-1) on Sunday mean that the Sound Tigers will face the AHL's best team in the regular season, the Toronto Marlies.
The AHL First Round is a Best-of 5:
North Division Semifinals – Series "C" (best-of-5) 
N1-Toronto Marlies vs. A5-Bridgeport Sound Tigers 
Game 1 – Sat., Apr. 23 – Toronto at Bridgeport, 7:00 
Game 2 – Sun., Apr. 24 – Toronto at Bridgeport, 5:00 
Game 3 – Thu., Apr. 28 – Bridgeport at Toronto, 7:30 
*Game 4 – Fri., Apr. 29 – Bridgeport at Toronto, 7:30 
*Game 5 – Sun., May 1 – Bridgeport at Toronto, 3:00
The winner of this series will face the winner of Utica- Albany Series in the North Division Finals.
Up Next
[MSG/MSG+ (Isles Pre-game at 7:30), WCBS 880, 88.7 WRHU-FM]
[MSG/MSG+ (Isles Pre-game at TBD), WCBS 880, 88.7 WRHU-FM]
The Isles will look to take a 3-1 lead in the series on Wednesday night.
The Isles are 7-2 when leading a series 2 games to 1, losing only to Toronto in 1978 and to Washington in 2015.
How big would it be for Isles to go up 3 games to 1?  The Isles have led nine best-of-seven series 3 games to 1, and won them all, most recently in 1993 vs. Washington.
Eric Hornick has been the statistician on Islander home game telecasts since 1982. Information contained in "The Skinny" has been gathered from various sources.  Follow Eric @ehornick on Twitter & on his blog http://www.nyiskinny.com./

Forever1940 is the nom de plume of Eric Hornick, statistician on Islander home telecasts since January 21, 1982. Visit my blog: NYISkinny.com and follow me on Twitter @ehornick

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